全球天然橡胶供应变化的趋势.pptVIP

2 April, 2009 Qingdao International NR Forum Outlook on Global Supply of Natural Rubber Structure of the Paper Trends in NR supply during 2003 -08 and Key Observations Review of Supply from each Country and the Anticipated Outlook for 2009 Factors determining NR Supply in the Short and Medium Terms Trends in New Planting since 2003 and Potential Impact on Supply Trends in Replanting since 2003 and Potential Impact on Supply Crop Shift from Rubber Anticipated Trend in Replanting in the Medium Term Anticipated Trend in Tappable Area Anticipated Trend in Average yield Signals on Global Supply of NR  1. Trends in NR Supply during 2003-08 and Key Observations Relative Share of the ANRPC Region in Global NR Supply during 2008 NR Production within ANRPC Region(2008) Total Production of NRin ANRPC Region (‘000 tonnes) Annual Growth in Production 2. Review of Supply from each Country and Outlook for 2009 NR Supply in Thailand Review up to 2009 Q1 and Outlook for 2009 Tapped area expanded by 108,000 ha during 2005-2008 Marginal decline in average yield from 1736 kg in 2005 to 1711 kg in 2008 Production increased at the average annual rate of 0.9 % during 2005-08 Production was lower by 13.9% during first 2 months in 2009 (compared to the same period 2008) 2009 production is anticipated to decline to 3.075 million tonnes from 3.090 million tonnes in 2008 NR Supply in Indonesia Review up to 2009 Q1 and Outlook for 2009 Tapped area expanded by 154,000 ha during 2005-2008 Average yield increased from 862 kg per hectare in 2005 to 1004 kg per hectare in 2008 Production increased at the average annual rate of 8.3 % during 2005-08 Production during 2009 Q1 declined by 3.2% Production during 2009 is anticipated to be at the same level in 2008 in spite of expansion in tapped area by 30,000 ha. NR Supply in Malaysia Review up to 2009 Q1 and Outlook for 2009 Tapped area came down by 201,000 hectare during 2005-2008 Average yield increased from 990 kg per hectare i