塞拉利昂大米种植的影响因素研究：一种供应回应方法-study on influencing factors of rice cultivation in sierra leone a supply response method.docx

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塞拉利昂大米种植的影响因素研究：一种供应回应方法-study on influencing factors of rice cultivation in sierra leone a supply response method.docx

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塞拉利昂大米种植的影响因素研究：一种供应回应方法-study on influencing factors of rice cultivation in sierra leone a supply response method

ClassifiedIndex:F33/37U.D.C.:338DissertationfortheDoctoralDegreeinManagementRESEARCHONTHEFACTORSINFLUENCINGRICECULTIVATIONINSIERRALEONE:ASUPPLYRESPONSEMODELAPPROACHCandidate:ContehAlhajiMohamedHamzaSupervisor:YanXiangbinAcademicDegreeAppliedfor:DoctorofManagementSpecialty:ManagementScienceandEngineeringAffiliation:SchoolofManagementDateofOralpresentation:July,2014DegreeConfirmingInstitute:HarbinInstituteofTechnologyAbstractRice,asastaplefoodofthevastmajorityofSierraLeoneans,iseatenonadailybasisbyeveryhouseholdinthecountry.Asthemostimportantfoodcrop,riceiswidelygrowninSierraLeone.Initsrecentreport,StatisticsSierraLeone(SSL)notedthatricecropcontributesthelargesttoagriculturalGDPofSierraLeonewhileatthesametimeprovidesemploymentformorethan70%ofthelaborforceinSierraLeone.Localsupplyofricehassignificantimplicationsforfoodsecurityandfoodself-sufficiencyinSierraLeone.Despiteitsimportanceasastaplefood,ricecultivationinSierraLeonehasbeendeclininginrecentyears.SierraLeonewasnotonlyindependentintermsofrice,butwasalsoanetexporterofriceuntilthe1970s.Duetocontinuouslong-termnegligencebystateauthorities,SierraLeone’simportationofricesteadilygrewafterthe1970saslocalproductionincreasinglylaggedbehindconsumptiondemand.ThedropinriceproductioninSierraLeoneisevidentinthewideningsupply-demandgapforthecropinthecountry.Thishasresultedinthesequentialuseofscarceforeignreservetoimportricethatcanotherwisebeefficientlyproducedlocallyatlowercost.Furthermore,thedeclineinlocalcultivationofricehashadmyriadsocio-economicimplicationsforSierraLeone;includingbalanceofpaymentdeficit,skyrocketingconsumerpricesandbulgingforeigndebt.Thepurposeofthisstudywastoevaluatetheinfluentialfactorsofricecultivation(ricesupply)usingaricesupplyresponsemodelapproach.Twosetsofhypothesesweretestedinthisstudy,thesearethepricefactor(suchasriceproducerprice)andnon-pricerelatedfactors(suchastheyearlypublicinvestment,riceandcassavaacreages,ruralpopulationshift,quantityofriceimported,fertilizerconsumptionandannualrainfall).Itwas