山西农村消费市场开发的系统动力学分析-system dynamics analysis of shanxi rural consumer market development.docxVIP
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山西农村消费市场开发的系统动力学分析-system dynamics analysis of shanxi rural consumer market development
TheStudyonDevelopmentofRuralConsumerMarketofShanxiBasedonSystemDynamicsAuthor:ZhaoJingjingSupervisor:LiJinhongAbstractInvestment,consumptionandexporttradeare“Troika”whichdrawacountry’seconomygrowing.However,theeffectsoftheTroikaarenotbalanced.Atpresent,ourprovinceandourcountryssustainedeconomicgrowthhasbeenmainlydrivenbyinvestment.Incontrast,consumptionisrelativelyweakstate,especiallytheruralconsumerdemand.Therefore,howtodeveloptheruralconsumermarkethasbecomeanimportantissuethatweneedtoface.ShanxiislocatedincentralofChina,whichhasalargenumberofcoal.Butitseconomicgrowthisthesingleway.Shanxi’sdomesticdemandisseriousshortage,especiallyconsumerdemandintheruralareas.Shanxiruralpopulationreached1828.5million,accountingfor53%oftheprovincestotalpopulationuntil2011,butconsumptionofruralresidentsisonly30%oftheprovincesconsumer.So,theruralconsumermarkethasgreatpotential.Therefore,thestudyofhowtofurtherthedevelopmentofShanxiruralconsumermarket,caneffectivelystimulateregionaleconomicdevelopment,andpromotethetransformationofeconomicgrowthmode.Firstly,thispaperhasfullydemonstratedthebackgroundandthesignificanceoftopicselection,explainedtheresearchtrendsofthedomesticandforeign.Secondly,thesystemdescribestheconceptoftheruralconsumermarket,consumertheoryandtheprincipleofsystemdynamicsmodeling,stepsandfeatures.Thenthisarticlehasstudiedthepresentconditionofconsumermarketofproductionandlifeandresearchrestrictionreasonoftheruralresidents’consumption.OnthebasisofqualitativeanalysisofthefactorsthataffectthedevelopmentofShanxiruralconsumermarket,thepaperhasbuiltsystemdynamicsmodeloftheruralconsumermarketinShanxiwiththeVensimDSSsoftwarebysystemdynamicstheoryandmethods.Wecanfindthattheycanboostregionaleconomicdevelopmentregardlessoftheproductionofconsumptionorconsumptionbysystemsimulationandpolicysimulation.Andthelevelofconsumptionoftheresidentsaffectedbytheincomelevel,thelevelofcirculation,financialcredit.Fiscalexpenditureonagriculture,socialsecurity,educationbuildingwouldaffecttheraisingthe
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