城市慢行交通规划研究——以铜川市为例-research on urban slow traffic planning —— a case study of tongchuan city.docxVIP

i i PAGE PAGE iv 摘要 近年来，我国城市快速发展，机动车增长迅速，城市交通恶化导致的城市环境问题 也日益严峻，虽然我国部分城市实行了限制小汽车发展的策略，但是也无法根本性的解 决城市交通恶化的问题。在这样的背景下，慢行交通越来越受到人民的重视，其具有低 碳、环保、便捷等各种优点，都充分的体现了慢行交通在整个城市交通体系中占有重要 的地位。 本文以城市慢行交通规划为研究对象，主要研究基于空间句法的慢行交通需求预测 模型和慢行交通系统规划方法。慢行交通需求预测是进行慢行规划的基础。首先，在 GIS 中利用同名道路法将现状道路网抽象化为轴线图，使用空间分析工具得出连接度和 控制值等形态分析变量，结合调查获得现状慢行交通高峰小时交通量，利用 SPSS 工具 回归分析得出慢行交通预测模型。 在慢行交通系统规划研究中，结合城市土地利用性质和道路网密度，将慢行交通划 分为三种区域类型，根据不同分区内对慢行交通的需求，合理规划步行和自行车道宽度， 划分慢行交通路网，并合理设置慢行交通过街设施。 以铜川市慢行交通规划为例，分析铜川市交通的现状，对铜川市慢行交通需求进行 预测，利用预测结果并结合慢行交通规划理论，合理规划铜川市慢行交通系统，以达到 低碳发展的目的。 关键字： 慢行交通 交通需求预测 空间句法 铜川市 Abstract Nowadays， urban traffic is becoming more and more serious and the urban living environment is getting worse times are due to the expand of cities， the growth of urban population and the rapid growth of motor vehicles ， so blindly advocating the development of urban rapid transit is unable fundamentally to solve the urban traffic problems. No matter what advanced the transportation system of a city， it cannot solve the end of traffic problems the last one kilometer must be resolved by Non- motorized transportation. A series of advantages of Non- motorized transportation have fully demonstrated its important position in the whole urban traffic system. In this paper the research object is the planning of urban Non-motorized transportation， mainly researching Non- motorized transportation demand forecasting model based on space syntax and Non-motorized system planning method. Non- motorized transportation demand forecasting is the basis of Non- motorized planning. Firstly， using the method of the same road will present status of road abstracted as axis figure of road network in GIS. Then， using spatial analysis tool morphological analysis variables such as connection degree and control values. Finally， combining with Non- motorized peak hour traffic volume， using SPSS regression analysis obtains that Non-motorized transportation forecasting model. In the research of Non- motorized transportati