奥地利学派商业周期理论研究-政治经济学专业论文.docxVIP

II II 中文摘要 奥地利学派商业周期理论研究 迂回生产是奥地利学派商业周期理论的另一个重要概念，是由庞巴维克于 19 世 纪末提出，并在之后由米塞斯（Mises）和哈耶克（Hayek）等人加以补充和利用。这 一概念在其它经济学派的理论中并没有受到足够的重视，因此深入理解这一概念，对 于准确把握奥地利学派商业周期理论的独到之处具有重要意义。 关于萧条和危机的治理措施，奥地利学派也有自己独特的理解。虽然政府和公众 都希望繁荣能永远持续下去，但人为因素对市场造成的扭曲必须得到纠正。在奥地利 学派看来，萧条的调整和恢复是一个必须经历的过程；而且，萧条时期虽然不是公众 希望经历的，但同样不应该有人为的干预，因为干预的结果会同繁荣时期一样，造成 市场信息失真，反而减缓经济自我恢复的进程。即使干预能够暂时延长繁荣景象，推 迟萧条的到来，但最终会造成萧条持续的时间更长，伤害更严重。 总之，汲取了奥地利学派成熟与独特的思想精华，奥地利学派商业周期理论曾反 复展示自身的魅力。相信在将来商业周期理论的研究领域中，它也一定会继续证明其 重要的价值。 【关键词】奥地利学派；商业周期；相对价格；迂回生产 作 者：王元飞 指导老师：顾建平 PAGE PAGE IV A Research on The Austrian School Business Cycle Theory Abstract A Study on The Austrian School Theory of Business Cycle Abstract The Austrian School business cycle theory, is such a kind that combines monetary theory with entrepreneurial spirit and Roundabout production. Different from some of the business cycle theories which can only explain some certain stages of the cycle, the Austrian School business cycle theory is a complete process including how prosperity comes into reality and how prosperity turn into depression, which can be seen to be a more mature and perfect interpretation theory. Currency factors is very important in the Austrian School business cycle theory. According to the Austrian School economists, there are two main ways cause the change the money supply. One is the voluntary money saving, as it is their own choice of people, so it will mislead production and consumption; Another way is the central banks intervention, in the view of the Austrian School, the central banks intervention makes the market interest rate diverse form the natural rate, so entrepreneur is easy to be misled to make improper investment, which can make the production structure artificially distorted. In the theory of Austrian school, no total or average index in the economic operation can accurately reflect the individual behavior of the market accurately, so what they care more about is how the price of some goods change according to the change of ot