英文商务统计学ppt_第五章ch05.ppt

Chap 5-* Using Excel For ThePoisson Distribution Chap 5-* Graph of Poisson Probabilities X ? = 0.50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0.6065 0.3033 0.0758 0.0126 0.0016 0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 P(X = 2) = 0.0758 Graphically: ? = 0.50 Chap 5-* Poisson Distribution Shape The shape of the Poisson Distribution depends on the parameter ? : ? = 0.50 ? = 3.00 Chap 5-* Chapter Summary Addressed the probability distribution of a discrete random variable Discussed the Binomial distribution Discussed the Poisson distribution Business Statistics: A First Course, 5e ? 2009 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Business Statistics: A First Course, 5e ? 2009 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 5-* Chapter 5 Some Important Discrete Probability Distributions Business Statistics: A First Course5th Edition Chap 5-* Learning Objectives In this chapter, you learn: The properties of a probability distribution To calculate the expected value and variance of a probability distribution To calculate probabilities from binomial and Poisson distributions How to use the binomial and Poisson distributions to solve business problems Chap 5-* DefinitionsRandom Variables A random variable represents a possible numerical value from an uncertain event. Discrete random variables produce outcomes that come from a counting process (e.g. number of courses you are taking this semester). Continuous random variables produce outcomes that come from a measurement (e.g. your annual salary, or your weight). Chap 5-* DefinitionsRandom Variables Random Variables Discrete Random Variable Continuous Random Variable Ch. 5 Ch. 6 DefinitionsRandom Variables Random Variables Discrete Random Variable Continuous Random Variable Ch. 5 Ch. 6 DefinitionsRandom Variables Random Variables Discrete Random Variable Continuous Random Variable Ch. 5 Ch. 6 Chap 5-* Discrete Random Variables Can only assume a countable number of values Examples: Roll a die twice Let X be the number of times 4 occurs (then X could be 0, 1, or 2 time