城市定制公交线路规划及发展评价研究-交通运输工程专业论文.docx

城市定制公交线路规划及发展评价研究 专 业：交通运输工程 硕 士 生：刘 毅 指导教师：陈大鹏 副教授 摘 要 随着经济的不断发展，城市居民收入水平的提升，居民出行时对出行的时效 性、舒适性、安全性等要求越来越高，大力发展高标准、经济性、效率性和满足 多样化、多层次、个性化的通勤出行需求的城市定制公交服务是城市公共交通系 统发展的必然要求。 城市定制公交作为我国城市公交系统多元化目标导向下，响应早晚高峰时段 居民通勤出行需求的公交新模式。本文首先通过对城市定制公交的基本概念、服 务要素、运作程序等进行理论分析，将定制公交与常规公交和出租车的乘客属性、 线路站点、票制票价、服务质量、是否需求定制预约等方面进行对比，明确定制 公交在交通出行安全性、舒适性、便捷性等方面都具有很大的客运优势和多层面 的发展优势。其次，定制公交规划区别于常规公交线网规划，重点是单一具体线 路的规划，基于对城市定制公交需求分析，建立了站点与路线规划模型以及城市 定制公交票价制定模型，并用实例验证了模型的有效性及可行性，为客观全面的 进行城市定制公交线路规划建立了理论依据。论文从乘客感知、运营企业和综合 效益三个层面，客观全面的构建了适合我国国情的城市定制公交发展评价指标体 系，以拉开档次法和可拓性物元分析法的思想构建城市定制公交发展评价模型。 最后，论文对规划方案的实际运营状况进行了发展评价，分析确定了影响城市定 制公交发展水平的关键性因素包含了公交准时性、出行时间差、出行费用节约效 益三个要素，并从提升城市定制公交运行速度、票价、市场化发展等方面给出了 优化及发展建议，从科学的角度为城市定制公交的推广运营和发展提供了理论指 导。 关键词：城市定制公交；线路规划；评价指标体系；发展评价模型 Study on the Development and Planning of Urban Customized Shuttle Bus Specialty: Traffic and Transportation Engineering Name: Liu Yi Instructor: Prof. Chen Da peng ABSTRACT With the rapid development of economy and rise of income of the citizens, more attention is being paid to the timeliness, comfort and safety of traffic. The development of diversified transportation service with higher standards, more efficiency, more safety is the necessary trend. Customized Shuttle Bus was the new pattern of bus with the trend of diversification of the public transportation, which met the citizens’ transportation demand of rush hours. Firstly, the concept of Customized Shuttle, the elements of service and the principles of operation were analyzed in the paper. With the passenger attributes, operating company and the appointment compared with regular buses, the superiority of safety, comfort and convenience were confirmed. Secondly, based on the analysis of demand of the public transportation, the models of site and route design and price making were set up, and a case was introduced to confirm the HYPERLINK /w/effectiveness/ effectiveness of the models, which provided the theory basis for overall and objective design of the Customized Shuttle Bu