城市金融集聚与要素流动空间耦合关系的计量分析-概率论与数理统计专业论文.docxVIP

摘要 摘 要 ? 金融经 济发展 的过程 中，区 域要素 流动对 其集聚 产生的 作用越 来越凸 显。基于此背景，本文从以下六个部分来研究城市金融集聚系统与要素流动 系统的空间耦合关系，并在其基础上将全国分为四大区域对比测度其不同地 区之间的差异。第一章主要介绍金融集聚与要素流动的研究背景和现状；第 二章介绍本文涉及的主要概念和模型理论；第三章构建了中国核心城市金融 集聚与要素流动系统综合评价的指标体系，采用主成分赋权和功效函数方 法，将 112 个核心城市分东、中、西部以及东北地区四大区域，从实证角度 对其 2009 年~2012 年金融集聚和要素流动系统进行综合评价。并在此基础 上，对金融集聚系统和要素流动系统进行空间自相关性检验，检验结果表 明：核心城市金融集聚系统和要素流动系统都呈现出很强的空间自相关性； 第四章给出金融集聚与要素流动系统空间耦合度和耦合协调度的计算模型和 实证结果，再对其实证结果进行区域性的对比分析，结果表明东部地区核心 城市的耦合现状和协调发展现状都明显优于中西部及东北地区；第五章在分 析核心城市金融集聚与要素流动耦合现状的基础上，给出促进四大区域金融 集聚与要素流动协调发展的相关政策建议；第六章总结本文的研究结论并提 出本文研究还存在的不足之处。 关键词：金融集聚；要素流动；空间自相关性；耦合模型；协调发展模型 ?本文为国家自然科学基金项目“金融集聚、要素流动与区域经济空间差异及趋同演化仿真研究：生态效 率的视角”(编号的研究成果之一。 ABSTRACT During the rapid development of finance and economy, regional factor flow begins to play a more and more prominent role in financial agglomeration. Based on this background, this thesis studied the coupling relationship between financial agglomeration system and factor flow system from six parts. In addition, our country is divided into four regions in order to compare the difference of the coupling relationship between them. The first part mainly introduces the background and status quo of financial agglomeration system and factor flow system. The second part introduces the theories of the main concepts and models which involved in this thesis. The third part has established a comprehensive appraisement index system of financial agglomeration system and factor flow system. It has evaluated the quality of financial agglomeration and factor flow in 112 core cities of China from 2009 to 2012, by using principal component method and efficacy function. In order to comparing, the 112 Chinese core cities are divided into four regions: eastern, central, western and northeastern regions. And on this basis, we test the spatial correlation between the two systems. The test result shows that both financial agglomeration system and factor flow system of the core cities present strong space autocorrelation. The fourth part intro