发输电组合系统可靠性随负荷和可靠性参数变化规律的研究电气工程专业论文.docxVIP

ABSTRACT This thesis was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (“Research on the theory and application of Reliability Tacing in Power System”, No. The system demands and reliability parameter of components have significant impacts on the reliability of power systems. The bus and system reliability indices are obviously functions of multiple variables with the random characteristics, such as the system load levels, the reliability parameter of components and the structhure of network. It’s very difficult to accurately evaluate the system reliability using a single load level and constant reliability parameter of components. In many situations, such as the reliability optimization, the proposed schemes of a power system are usually related to several repeated reliability evaluation processes due to different reliability and electrical parameters. Hence, it’s necessary to discuss the rules of the system reliability varying with load levels and reliability parameters, which can be used to directly evaluate the system reliability without a repeated calculation when the parameters are changed. The thesis presents regression models of the system reliability varying with load levels and reliability parameters on the base of a comprehensive analysis of variations of the system reliability with these parameters. The main contents are as follows: ①The model of the generation system reliability varying with different load levels and generator reliability parameters is proposed. The model for the generation system reliability varying with different load levels is formulated as a quadratic regression model with one variable using the variable transformation technique, which is helpful to show an approximate linear ralationship between the reliability and load levels. The original model for the system reliability varying with load levels can be obtained using the inverse transformation of variables. The proposed regression models have been verif