城市地铁应急能力评价指标体系研究-管理科学与工程专业论文.docxVIP

论文题目：城市地铁应急能力评价指标体系研究 专 业：管理科学与工程 硕 士 生：袁孝伟 （签名） 指导教师：钱 敏 （签名） 摘 要 随着我国国民经济的快速发展，城市发展已进入持续快速增长的黄金时期。随着城 市交通压力的加大，地铁在人们日常生活中的应用越来越广泛。我国城市地铁正在蓬勃 地发展，但人们在享受地铁带来的出行方便的同时，也面临着越来越多的地铁事故的威 胁。频发的城市地铁灾害事故，引发了人们对地铁安全性的极大关注，许多国家相继建 立了地铁的应急系统并开展了相关研究，而我国城市地铁应急能力及其评价方面的研究 却相对滞后。本文拟通过对城市地铁应急能力评价指标体系的研究，为改进城市地铁应 急能力提供有力的支持。 本文通过从人、物、环境和管理四个方面分析地铁系统的风险因素和城市地铁应急 能力的内涵，借鉴国内外应急能力评价的经验，构建了包括预警能力、应急准备、应急 响应能力和善后恢复能力四个一级指标在内的城市地铁应急能力评价指标体系，并运用 层次分析法给各指标赋予了权重。论文运用模糊综合评价法建立了城市地铁应急能力模 糊综合评价模型，并将该模型实际应用到对广州地铁的应急能力评价，根据评价结果提 出了若干加强其应急能力建设的建议，以为广州地铁应急能力的提升提供有益的参考。 关 键 词：城市地铁；应急能力评价；指标体系；层次分析法；模糊综合评价 研究类型：应用研究 2 Subject : The Study of Assessment Index System on Emergency Capability of Urban subway Specialty : Management Science and Engineering Name : (Signature) Instructor : (Signature) ABSTRACT With the rapid development of our national economy, urban develop ment has entered the golden period of rapid growth. As urban traffic pressure increase, subway used more widely in people daily life. Urban subway are vigorously developed, but people face a growing threat of a subway accident while enjoying the subway brings travel convenient. Frequent urban subway disasters and accidents raising fears of subway safety attention.Many countries have established a subway emergency system and launched a related research, while our country city subway contingency ability and the evaluation research actually relatively lags. This essay tries to research urban subway emergency capability evaluation index system to improve the urban subway contingency ability and provide strong support. This paper analysis the risk factors and contingency ability of urban subway from the person, content, environment and management four aspects. Constructs city subway emergency capability evaluation index system including warning ability, emergency preparedness, emergency response ability and rehabilitation restoring capacity four first-level index by referencing domestic and international emergency capability evalua