中国物流业碳排放影响因素的区域差异..docVIP

中国物流业碳排放影响因素的区域差异 刘渝李莱宋阳 武汉工程大学管理学院 物流业是碳排放的主要行业之一，分析物流业碳排放和影响因素的区域差异可 为分区域制定减排措施提供科学依据。基于Panel data,利用TPCC方法测算我 国30个省区2007—2014年物流业的碳排放量，运用LMDI模型将碳排放影响效 应分解为能源结构、能源强度、经济发展和人口规模效应，并将全国划分为东、 中、西三个区域，挖掘三个区域碳排放影响因素的差异。结果显示，就全国平均 水平而言，经济发展效应是物流业碳排放最主要的正向效应，人口规模效应次 之，能源强度效应是主要的负向效应，其次是能源结构效应;就区域差异而言， 能源强度效应在东部地区的表现最明显，人门规模效应对西部地区的影响相对 较大，经济发展效应对东部与四部地区的影响高于中部地区。 关键词： 物流业;碳排放;区域差异;LMDT因素分解;影响因素; 刘渝（1981-）,女，湖北省武汉人，博士，副教授，研究方向为资 源与环境经济。 2017-10-20 基金：武汉工程大学“企业与环境协调发展研究中心”重点项目（编 号:qyl501）:武汉工程大学研宄生教育创新基金项0 （编号:CX2016117） Regional Disparities of Influencing Factors of Logistics Industries Carbon Emissions in China LIU Yu LI Lai SONG Yang School of Management, Wuhan Institute of Technology; Abstract： Logistics industry was one of the main industry responsible for carbon emission. Analysis of regional differences in carbon emissions and impact factors in the logistics industry could provide a scientific basis for the development of mitigation measures. Based on the panel data, analysis of regional differences in carbon emissions and impact factors in the logistics industry could provide a scientific basis for the development of mitigation measures. This paper used the IPCC method to measure the carbon emissions of the logistics industry in 30 provinces in China during 2007-2014. The IAIDT model was used to decompose the carbon emission effect into energy structure effect, energy intensity effect, economic development effect and population scale effect. And the 30 provinces in China were divided into three regions: Eastern, central and western regions, to excavate the regional differences in carbon emissions and the impact of carbon emission factors. For the national average，the results showed that economic development effect was the most main positive factor to carbon emission of logistics industry, followed by the population scale effect. Energy intensity effect was the main negative impact on carbon emissions， followed by the energy structure effect, but the inhibition w