河流水质评价与环境容量计算方法的改进及应用-环境科学专业论文.docxVIP

Improved Improved Mothed and Its Application for Water Quality Assessment and Water Environmental Carrying Capacity Caleulation Abstraet To evaluate the water quality and calculation，the water environmental carrying capacity are the basic tasks for water enviromental planing and management． Based on the characteristics of random，fuzziness，and uncertainty of water environmental system，uncertained mathematic theories are used to improve the traditional water environmental models． For water quality assessment，by way of the existing model and denoting the monitoring data of water quality for each index as blind numbers，a new water quality index model with blind number parameters and a blind reliability model for identifying the ranks of water quality are established primarily．According to these two models，not only the possible interval values and their corresponding faith degrees for aggregative index number of water quality,but also the ranks of water quality of evaluated waters carl be identified．Study results show that it is feasible and reliable employ the blind number theory for water quality assessment． By way of the existing fuzzy linear regression model，a new linear regression model with triangular fuzzy parameters is established for river water quality forecast．According to the upward model，the trend of river water quality can be reflected by means of triangular fuzzy numbers．Using the d—cut technique fur fuzzy numbers．the forecast values of river water quality cgn be converted from triangular fuzzy numbers into interval values corresponding to the given confidence level口．Study results show that the fuzzy linear regression model with triangular fuzzy parameters is suitable for river water quality fbrecast． For water environmental carrying capacity，the blind number theory and triangular fuzzy number theory are used to improve the water environmental carrying capacity model respectively．On the basis，two new modles with blind number parameters and triangular f