上海近地面臭氧污染的健康影响评价.PDFVIP

中国环境科学 2010,30(5) ：603~608 China Environmental Science 上海市近地面臭氧污染的健康影响评价 陈仁杰, 陈秉衡, 阚海东* ( 复旦大学公共卫生学院环境卫生教研室, 公共卫生安全教育部重点实验室,上海 200032) 摘要：根据 2008 年上海市环境保护部门的每日 24h 近地面臭氧监测数据, 以每日最大 8h(11:00~18:59)的臭氧浓度均值作为上海市居民的 平均暴露水平, 以该年上海市的全部常住人口作为臭氧暴露人口,计算近地面臭氧污染对上海市居民的健康影响和相关的健康经济损 3 3 3 失.2008 年上海市近地面臭氧每日最大 8h 的年平均水平为 88µg/m ,其中市区为 78µg/m ,市郊区为 96µg/m .结果表明,近地面臭氧污染可以 导致上海市居民 1892 (95%CI:589~3540)例早逝和 26049(95%CI:13371~38499) 例住院 , 全年的归因健康经济损失为 32.42(95%CI: 10.80~59.23)亿元,其中由早逝引起的损失占总健康经济损失的 88.12%.提示近地面臭氧污染已对上海市居民产生了较大的健康损失和经 济损失. 关键词：臭氧；健康；经济；评价 中图分类号：X503.1 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1000-6923(2010)05-0603-06 * Health impact assessment of surface ozone pollution in Shanghai. CHEN Ren-jie, CHEN Bing-heng, KAN Hai-dong (Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Department of Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China). China Environmental Science, 2010,30(5)：603~608 Abstract ： Based on the monitoring data of surface ozone in Shanghai in 2008, the daily maximum 8h(11:00~18:59)concentrations were averaged to represent the population-level ozone exposure level. All fixed residents living in Shanghai were the supposed affected population. In 2008, the annual average 8h maximum ozone concentration was 88µg/m3, and the ozone level in the central urban areas was lower than that in suburban areas (78µg/m3 versus 96µg/m3 respectively). It was estimated that 1892 (95% confidence intervals, 95%CI: 589~3540) premature deaths and 26049 (95%CI: 13371~38499) cases of hospital admission were attributable to surface ozone pollution in 2008 in Shanghai. Th