北极航线通航环境评价-计算机工程与应用.PDF

Computer Engineering and Applications 计算机工程与应用 2013 ，49 （1） 249 北极航线通航环境评价 1 2 1 1 1 李振福 ，闫 力 ，徐梦俏 ，刘柏鹤 ，马书孟 1 2 1 1 1 LI Zhenfu , YAN Li , XU Mengqiao , LIU Baihe , MA Shumeng 1.大连海事大学 交通运输管理学院，辽宁 大连 116026 2.南通市港口管理局，江苏 南通 226006 1.College of Transportation Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian, Liaoning 116026，China 2.Nantong Port Authority, Nantong, Jiangsu 226006, China LI Zhenfu, YAN Li, XU Mengqiao, et al. Evaluation of Arctic route ’s navigation environment. Computer Engineering and Applications, 2013, 49 （1）：249-253. Abstract ：Along with the development of global warming, the commercial navigation of the Arctic route is getting even more likely, and the whole world is paying more and more attention to it. The analysis of the factors that affecting the navigation environment together with the evaluation of the Arctic route ’s navigation environment can provide important reference value for the further study of the Arctic route. Thus, based on the summarization of the status and the navigation accident statistics of the Arctic route, this paper establishes an evaluation index system of the Arctic route ’s navigation environment and makes a prelimi- nary evaluation of the Arctic route ’s navigation environment through a grey fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Since a lack of accurate data, the indexes ’value is given by the expert grading method. Through analysis, it comes to conclude the hydrological factors, navigation aids and information factors are the main factors that affect the Arctic route ’s navigation environment. Besides, the sea ice concentration, icebreaker and navigation experience are individually the primary factors of the hydrological environment, navigation aids and information environment. As the north pole