《对外直接投资与出口贸易关系的实证分析—基于18国的面板数据（1995-2010）》-毕业论文设计（学术）.docVIP

lw 对外直接投资与出口贸易关系的实证分析 ——基于18国的面板数据（1995-2010） 摘 要 国际直接投资和出口贸易是两种最基本的国际经济关系。国际资本流动通过影响贸易发展和贸易绩效推动世界贸易格局的变迁。出口贸易长期以来作为一国经济增长的动力与对外直接投资有着密不可分的关系。本文选取1995-2010年包括我国在内的18个国家的对外直接投资和出口贸易数据，运用面板数据单位根及面板数据协整模型，对对外直接投资与出口贸易关系进行了实证分析，理论模型及检验结果表明：对外直接投资与出口贸易两者间呈互补关系。 关键词：对外直接投资；出口贸易；单位根检验；协整检验 The Empirical analysis of the relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and export trade ——Based on the 18-country panel data Abstract:International direct investment and exports are two basic forms of the international division of labor and the two most important international economic relations.International capital flows through the impact of trade development and trade performance-driven changes in world trade patterns.As the engine of a countrys economic growth,the export trade has long been in a close relationship with foreign direct investment.This paper will have an empirical analysis of the relationship between the export trade and foreign direct investment,choosing the cross-section data of the foreign direct investment and the export trade from 1995 to 2010.I use methods in Econometrics to do regression of the cross-section data,finally I test it,it do work.We conclude that foreign direct investment and export trade is in a complementary relationship. Key words: Foreign direct investment; Export trade; Unit root tests；Cointegration test 目 录TOC \o 1-3 \h \u HYPERLINK \l _Toc1970 第1章 前言 PAGEREF _Toc1970 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc20669 1.1 论文选题背景和意义 PAGEREF _Toc20669 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc1603 1.2 国内外研究现状及研究中存在的不足 PAGEREF _Toc1603 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc6700 1.2.1 替代关系理论 PAGEREF _Toc6700 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc19887 1.2.2 补充关系理论 PAGEREF _Toc19887 2 HYPERLINK \l _Toc32605 1.3 论文研究的主要内容 PAGEREF _Toc32605 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc30688 第2章 对外直接投资与出口贸易的现状 PAGEREF _Toc30688 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc20259 2.1 世界对外直接投资的现状 PAGEREF _Toc20259 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc2724 2.1.1 发达国家及新兴市场国家对外直接投资的现状 PAGEREF _Toc2724 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc18743 2.1.2 发展中