华东电力市场模式下发电商竞价策略研究-工商管理专业论文.docxVIP

摘要在电力市场环境下，发电商的竞价策略选择直接影响到其利润。因此研究电 摘要 在电力市场环境下，发电商的竞价策略选择直接影响到其利润。因此研究电 力市场理论、分析其他发电商行为对发电商科学参与市场竞价至关重要。 我国电力市场理论研究始于上世纪。他们从电力市场的结构及运作的发展历 程，分析了电力市场的作用，对市场运作方式进行了阐述，探讨了电力市场模式 下的电价理论并进行了应用分析，同时介绍了电力市场的调度问题，对我国进行 电力市场建设提出建议。目前国内的学者在进行发电商竞价策略研究时，主要基 于博弈论方法、可能性理论。 本文主要研究华东电力市场模式下发电商的竞价策略问题。通过对华东电力 市场构成状况和华东电力市场发电商的市场势力进行分析，提出适宜发电商参与 市场实践的竞价策。研究华东市场规则，对存在的问题进行分析并提出解决办法。 目前华东电力市场是发电侧单边竞争市场，发电市场采用差价合约结算方 式，按照10％电量的有限竞争。经过几年建设，目前华东处于电力过剩的阶段， 加剧了发电商的竞争程度。在这种环境下，发电商必须理性地参与市场竞争。 发电商必须把握自己的设备状况、分析自己的成本结构，在现阶段华东电力 市场，发电商必须在保证机组稳定的条件下按照边际成本等于边际收益的原则参 与市场竞争。 发电商可以采取在线的系统统计分析机组耗量特性，计算机组的边际成本， 根据自己的边际成本和对市场需求、市场出清价格的预测进行分析竞争对手的竞 价策略，利用博弈理论选择投标策略，获取竞争成果。 本文提出的发电商竞价策略，符合华东电力市场初期的特点，适合发电商在 实际竞争中的操作。方法简洁直观，具有较强的实用性。 关键词：电力市场发电商竞价策略 AbstractIn Abstract In the electricity market environment，bidding strategies employed by power ganermion companies may have significant impacts on their own benefi乜．Hence，it is important for the power generation companies to study the theory of the electricity market and the action of the othels， In china the studying of the electricity market began since in last century．The function of electricity market was analyzed based on the structure of the electricity market and the development process of the operation．The way of market operation was formulated，electricity price theories under mode of electricity market were discussed and their applications were analyzed．Meanwhile，control of electricity market was mentioned and suggestions construction of domestic electricity market were provided．Currently games theory method and possibility theories are mainly employed by domestic scholars to conduct the research the bidding strategy of a power company Bidding strategies employed by power company under the market mode of Eastern China are discussed in the paper．The bidding strategies applicable to the power company to participate in market are worked out based on the analysis of the structure of electricity market in Eastern China and market influence ofthe power co