基于灰色理论的京津冀交通货运量预测系统及应用研究-计算机应用技术专业论文.docxVIP

优秀毕业论文 精品参考文献资料 AbstractThe Abstract The rise and fall oftransportation industry is the significant symbol to the development of market economy．Transportation has positive effect on economy developing，is the main artery of national economic developing．Regional integration growing into all impomnt path for region coordinated development and economy globalization abng with the economic globalization process accelerated． The aim oftransport integration in Beging-TianJin_HeBei region is make the best use of traffic first,completely support for the major strategic o f coordinating development in this regiorl． On the basis of mastering existing information,it reduces errors of decision，prevents blindness of decision and promotes decision-maker’s management thru forecast at earlier stage．Through processing and analyzing about the forecast data,can grasp the variation Irend of economy developing realize the uncertain factors that effect future，and then reduce decision risk，promote the goal realized successfully．This article analyzed some core data of transportation such as volume o f仔eight traffic and SO on,to predict and analyze the development trend of transportation industry in BeiJing—TianJin-HeBei region,in order to provide scientific basis for the region’S transportation industry imamgement． This article combines qualitative arid quantitative methods，analyzing history and status of transportation industry development in BeiJing-TianJin-HeBei region,seeking the problems that restrict transport integration processing．Comparing regression forecast method with grey prediction method，selected the theory and method of grey prediction，established grey forecasting model on BeiJing—TianJin-HeBei region’S volume of freight traffic， predicted and analyzed about this item．The research result makes a certain sc ientific refereme value to relate department for its management and decisiorL Keywords：grey theory,transportation,Beij ing-Tianj in-Hebei traffic regions，volume， forecast