《《基于分形理论的浸润线预测方法》》-毕业论文（设计）.doc

中北大学2012届毕业论文 PAGE 毕业论文 基于分形理论的浸润线预测方法 学生姓名： 徐 攀 学号： 0805014219 学 院： 信息与通信工程学院 专 业： 电子信息科学与技术 指导教师： 杨风暴 2012 年 6 月 摘 要 段前后0.5行？ 尾矿坝运行过程中因边界条件的变化或防渗、排水等设施的破坏，浸润线将产生变化，致使坝体运行状态受到影响。所以，运行中必须监测坝体浸润线，准确检测浸润线并对其进行预测对于尾矿坝安全度的正确判定具有至关重要的影响。修改 分形理论是近年来发展起来的新兴非线性系统理论，分形几何具有自相似性和标度不变性两个基本特征，能从不同的时间，不同的区域等局部特征来推断整体特征，本文正是把分形理论的相关方法应用于浸润线的分析预测中。在本文中，首先通过重标极差分析法（R/S法）分析了浸润线的自相似性和标度不变性，说明了可用分形理论对其进行分析预测。然后利用分形插值外延法，并结合基于拼贴定理和分形插值函数迭代过程的分形理论，提出了浸润线的预测模型。最后通过一个实例来验证这个模型的可靠性和合理性，结果表明，它对浸润线有很好的预测效果。 关键词：浸润线预测；分形理论，R/S法，分形插值，外延法 不空格，分号 ABSTRACT 段前后0.5行？ Tailing dam due to the boundary conditions change or seepage, drainage facilities destruction in the operation process，Saturation line will change, resulting in the dam operating status affected. Therefore, we must monitor the dam saturation line when the dam operating, accurate detection and prediction of saturation line has crucial influence on correct judgement of the tailings dam safety. Fractal theory is a emerging theory of nonlinear systems which is developed in recent years, Fractal geometry has two basic characteristics- self-similarity and scale invariance, can from the different time, different regional and local feature to infer the whole feature. Our paper apply the fractal theory to the analysis and forecast of the saturation line. In this paper, firstly, through the rescaled range analysis method (R/S method) analysis the self-similarity and scale invariance of the saturation line, proved that the fractal theory can be used to the analysis and prediction of the saturation line. Then we combine the fractal interpolation extrapolation method with based on the collage theorem and fractal interpolation function iterative process of fractal theory, put forward the forecast model of seepage line. Finally, through an example to verify the reliability and rationality of this model.The results show that, it on saturation line has good prediction effect. Keyw