河北平原温度与降水变化及其对小麦玉米熟制的影响作物专业论文.docxVIP

域三0℃积温4000-4500。C·d向北推移至青龙县南部，与此同时4500,-4900。C·d向北移 域三0℃积温4000-4500。C·d向北推移至青龙县南部，与此同时4500,-4900。C·d向北移 动，使该积温带面积增加约O．8×104km2，说明研究区域冬小麦复种晚熟夏玉米的种植 面积可增加O．8x104km2；高值区(4900℃·d)从0增加了4．1x104km2，表明研究区 域冬小麦复种晚熟夏玉米的种植面积可增加4．1xlO％an2。保定北部积温达到4500- 4900℃·d，研究区域北部的廊坊地区≥0℃积温在时段II也达到4500,-一4900℃·d，表明 时段Ⅱ廊坊及其以南地区均可满足冬小麦复种夏玉米中熟品种的热量要求。此外，邢 台邯郸等地20℃积温在时段II超过4900℃·d，表明该地区满足冬小麦复种晚熟玉米品 种的热量要求。 (6)全年总降水量年际间变异系数O．2 1，3～5月年际间变异系数0．57-0．96、7~9 月年际间变异系数0．34--0．49，全年及7-9月降水相对稳定，3～5月降水变异较大。 3。5月适逢小麦拔节至抽穗期，此阶段为小麦的需水临界期，需要大量水分，河北平 原3～5月平均降水64．31mm，降水较少并且变异系数较高，降水耦合度低，这就需要 大量的灌溉水。7-9月适逢夏玉米拔节至成熟期，平均降水350．48mm，降水较多并 且变异较小，降水吻合度高基本能满足夏玉米的生长需求。当前，河北平原最大的现 实是严重缺水，已不宜推广水资源消耗较大的两熟制，根据最小因子定律，应适当减 少冬小麦种植面积。 关键词：河北平原；气候变化；温水资源；种植制度 万方数据 Temperature Temperature and Precipitation Change and Its Impact on Wheat-Maize Planting Regime in Hebei Plain Master Candidate：Chen Sheng Major：Crop Supervisor：Du Xiong ABSTRACT Global climate becomes warming and scholars at home and abroad pay aRenfion to it． Temperature rises has changed the agricultural heat-water resource of the spatial distribution and make more far-reaching impact on crops．Under the background of giobal wanning，studying on climate change and its impact on wheat-maize planting regime in Hebei Plain Can take the initiative to respond to climate changes，utilize climatic resources properly and optimize the planting regime of the region．Based on the 1 966_20 1 2 observation data from 1 1 meteorological stations in Hebei Plain，the research made analysis on the changes of the first and last day and the interval of them，with the daily temperature above 0℃and 1 0℃stably,the change of the accumulated temperature and precipitation in different space and also in different years and decades and the influence on wheat-maize．The results are as follows： (1)Annual mean temperature within the research time limit is 1 2．40℃．increasing markdely．trend rate iS 0．367℃／1 0a and the annual and seasonal mean temperature present a obvious rising tendency in the 90s．Sprin