大型综合交通枢纽站客流预测及组织优化方法研究交通运输规划与管理专业论文.docxVIP

ABSTRACTABSTRACT ABSTRACT ABSTRACT ABSTRACT： Scientific passenger flow forecasts and the optimum organigations is the foundation of realizing effective transportation system and the operational management in station．There are many traffic modals and large-scale passenger collector-distributor volume in comprehensive transportation hub，also its transferred space is very complicated．Studying on transferred passenger flow and optimum organigations in a comprehensive transportation hub has pratical significance to enhance operational efficiency and quality of service． The thesis studies the method of passenger flow forecasting and structure optimizing of large comprehensive transportation hub in the ground of Beij ing south station，which is according as the research work of The Ministry of Railways’item： railway transportation hub programming and capability deploying research．．．．．．1arge comprehensive transportation hub management project research． On the basic of analyzing current situation at home and abroad，specific to practical situation of domestic large-scale comprehensive transportation hub，this paper mainly research on forecasting of transferred passenger flow between various kinds of traffic mode and traffic assignment volume on each road in the transferred flow net，as well as the method of passenger flow line optimization．And the union example analyzed passenger flow forecasts and passenger flow optimal organization．In respect of transferred passenger flow forecasts：on the basic of analyzing influence factor of transferred passenger,through quoting traffic assignment theory and method，this paper puts forward using double constrained gravity model to forecasts transferred passenger volume between various tra伍C mode．In respect of traffic assignment volume of passenger flow：it creats road inpedence function that adapt to pedestrian traffic assignment in station and computing formula of maximum capacity of transferred passage，as well as the method and operational p