安徽省谷物生产区域格局变化及影响因素分析应用统计专业论文.docxVIP

AbstractAnalysis Abstract Analysis on the change of regional structure of grain production in Anhui province and its influencing factors Abstract The factors of regional agricultural production flowing in space， market，technology，cropping system in different county，resulting in regional agricultural production performance of significant spatial effect．Anhui Province of China’S major grain producing province，the variation characteristics of grain production，and influencing factors had received wide attention from scho lars，but the relative researches lack of effect of spatial effect in grain production．This paper the basis of previous studies，applied spatial statistics and spatial econometrics method to study the regional pattern of grain production in Anhui Province county． This paper from the point of view of county regional pattern of grain production，using the method of spatial data analysis，study the features in regional pattern of grain production in the county of Anhui province during the data I 985 to 20 1 4．Based grain yield index segments，from two different point of view：technology with factor inputs and crop planting structure，to analysis the which affecting regional pattern of grain production of qualitative．Based the research about influencing factors of grain production，the paper chose the per capita GDP in various counties of Anhui Province，planting area，affected crop area，total power of agricultural machinery，agricultural fertilizer fertilizer，the of pesticides， agricultural labor force the explanatory variable，grain yield the explained variable．Further research county regional pattern of grain production factors，this paper establish spatial lag model(SLM)and spatial model(SEM)，based the relative data in 2005，20 1 0 and 20 1 4，to study the factors which influencing the pattern change of grain production in different counties in Anhui province． Through drawing grain yield equidistant distribution maps of grain output in each county of Anhui Province，we