基于博弈分析的供应系统动态应急管理模型-企业管理专业论文.docxVIP

重庆大学硕士学位论文中文摘要 重庆大学硕士学位论文 中文摘要 I I 摘 要 随着供应链管理技术的普及和推广，供应链层次结构越来越复杂，所跨地域 越来越广泛，特别是现代供应链管理技术更多地强调精益制造、即时制或零库存， 这些供应链“减肥”技术在带来巨大成功的背后，也使得企业的应急能力越来越脆 弱。当风险降临时，许多企业的正常业务被迫中断，市场份额下降，有的甚至面 临破产倒闭。因此，研究如何制定正确的供应链应急策略，为企业提供强有力的 战略保障，具有重要意义。 本文将研究范围确定为一条制造业供应链的内部突发事件，研究的具体问题为 供应系统的突发事件。本文做了诸多假设来使模型尽量接近真实情况，首先是确 立制造商在整条供应链中的核心地位，建立应急紧急度的概念，实现对供应品的 分类管理；然后通过博弈模型来分析突发事件发生时供应商同制造商之间的冲突， 以最大程度促进信息共享，避免供应商对制造商的欺骗行为，达到“应急措施必须 促使供应商在突发事件发生时说出实情”的效果。接下来在以上两步分析的基础 上，本文构建了一个制造商主导下针对供应系统突发事件的动态应急管理模型， 从而尽可能的降低利益损失，尽快恢复供应系统的正常运转，促进链内伙伴的友 好合作和长远发展。 关键词：供应系统，突发事件，动态应急，博弈分析 重庆大学硕士学位论文英文摘要 重庆大学硕士学位论文 英文摘要 II II Abstract With the development and spread of the supply chain’s managerial technique, its hierarchy has become more and more complex and its scope turns broader. The application of the skills such as exquisite produces, JIT and zero inventories not only brings in huge benefits for the enterprises, but also makes their emergency ability fragility. When risks come, many companies’ regular work will be compulsively interrupted; the marketing share will be reduced and even goes into bankrupting. So it’s very crucial to make a right strategy for a supply chain to treat with the emergency and give an enterprise a strong guarantee. This paper takes the problems of a manufacturing supply chain’s interior emergency as the main research object and focused on the emergency management in the supply system. In the paper, firstly, it raises many hypotheses to simulate the real world, including establishing the manufacturer’s center status, creating a new concept of emergency degree to classify the supplies. Secondly, under the emergency environment it uses game theory model to analyze the benefit conflicts between manufacturer and supplier to avoid the suppliers cheat on the manufacturer, which can get the purpose of getting the real situation from suppliers. Then with the research of the above analysis, it makes a dynamic emergency response plan leading by manufacturer to lessen the loss, resume the