节能减排对产业结构转型升级影响的实证分析-人口、资源与环境经济学专业论文.docxVIP

万方数据 万方数据 摘 要 本文首先从生产理论的研究视角，把产业结构合理化指数作为衡量产业结构转型升级 的指标，测算了中国 30 个省区的产业结构合理化指数，这为研究节能减排对中国产业结 构优化升级的影响奠定了基础。其次，在学者 Fare et al.(2007)提出的环境生产技术函数基 础上，采用环境方向性距离函数，分别构建了基于投入、产出导向的 DEA 模型；进而运 用 DEA-MAX 软件测算出中国 30 个省区的全要素能源效率和全要素 CO2 减排效率。最后， 构建产业结构转型升级与节能减排的计量模型，将全要素能源效率、全要素 CO2 减排效 率作为衡量节能减排的指标，结合中国经济发展实际情况，在解释变量里加上能源结构、 外贸依存度、政府公共投资，对节能减排对产业结构转型升级影响做回归分析，进行实证 研究。 研究结果表明：（1）全要素 CO2 排放效率的提升对产业结构转型升级有积极影响；（2） 各省区经济发展具有异质性，故节能减排政策的制定不能“一刀切”，应充分考虑到各地区 经济发展水平、工业化进程以及所处发展阶段的特殊性；（3）全要素能源效率提升和产业 结构转型升级负相关，反映了中国经济目前仍处于粗放型增长阶段。 关键字：产业结构转型升级；节能减排；全要素 CO2 减排效率；全要素能源效率 I Abstract Based on the rationalization of industrial structure under production theory, this paper use a new measurement of industrial structure, measures China’s 30 provincial SR index during 1995-2012 respectively, laying the foundation for exploring the effects of energy conservation and emissions reduction on the optimization of China’s industrial structure. This paper then analyzes the environmental restriction’s effects on the TFP. On the basis of Fare’s environmental production technology function, this paper use environmental directional distance function to establish the DEA model constant returns to scale input-oriented and output-oriented, measuring the total factor energy efficiency and the total factor CO2 emission reduction efficiencies of China’s 30 provinces during 1995-2012 respectively. Besides this two TFP factors, we takes energy structure, foreign trade dependency, governmental public investment as explanatory variables. On this basis, we specify a fixed effect model so as to empirically explore the relationship between industrial structure, energy consumption and CO2 emission. The main research contents and conclusions are as following: (1)The industrial structure is evidently influenced by the total factor CO2 emission reduction efficiencies;(2)Based on the heterogeneity of economic development in different parts of China, thus, the formulation of policy should take different provincial economi