AnalysisonCharacteristicofDroughtofGuilin桂林干旱气候特征分析.PDFVIP

Climate Change Research Letters 气候变化研究快报, 2013, 2, 20-24 /10.12677/ccrl.2013.21004 Published Online January 2013 (/journal/ccrl.html) * Analysis on Characteristic of Drought of Guilin # Xianda Bai , Yaxin Zhang, Cunzhen Wang Guilin Meteorological Bureau in Guangxi, Guilin Email: #glbxd@126.com Received: Nov. 26th th th , 2012; revised: Dec. 17 , 2012; accepted: Dec. 26 , 2012 Abstract: For analysis of the climate characteristics of drought occurred in Guilin, we used the precipitation data of 13 stations of Guilin from 1957-2010 years, made ten-day rainfall statistics, divided the meteorological drought levels, studied on the geographical distribution, and occurrence probability, and time series change cycle of drought. The result shows that: By the influence of weather system and special terrain, the drought is most serious in the southeast and lightest in the north; the drought is mainly occurred in autumn and winter, but rarely happened in the spring and sum- mer; severe drought have 11-year periodic change feature. Keywords: Guilin; Drought; Climate Feature; Analysis 桂林干旱气候特征分析* # 白先达，张雅昕，王存真 桂林市气象局，桂林 Email: #glbxd@126.com 收稿日期：2012 年11 月26 日；修回日期：2012 年12 月17 日；录用日期：2012 年12 月26 日 摘 要：为分析桂林市干旱发生的气候特征，用全市13 个站1957~2010 年的降水资料，统计旬合计降水量，划 分气象干旱等级，对干旱发生的地域分布、发生概率及时间序列变化周期等进行研究。结果是：受天气系统和 特殊地形的影响，市区东南部干旱最严重，北部最轻；桂林以秋冬季节干旱为主，春夏季节干旱很少发生；严 重干旱具有11 年的周期变化特征。