归因于暴雨洪涝的感染性腹泻疾病负担评价及预估研究-流行病与卫生统计学专业论文.docxVIP

3归因疾病负担评估 3归因疾病负担评估 。43 4未来时间段超额发病数预估 ．．44 结 论 ．．47 局限性 。47 参考文献 48 致谢 ．．53 攻读硕士学位期间发表论文 ．．55 学位论文评阅及答辩情况表 ．．57 万方数据 CoNTENTSAbstract CoNTENTS Abstract in Chinese ．．1 Abstract in English ． ．．4 Symbolic Description ．．7 Introduction ． ．．． ．．．．．．． 8 Materials and Methods ． 12 1 Study area ．12 2 Data collectioIl ．．13 2．1 Infectious disease data ． ．．13 2．2 Flood data ．．14 2．3 Meteorological data ．15 2．4 Demographic data ．15 3 Study design and statistical analysis ．．． ．．．．．．． ． ．．．15 3．1 Estimate the attributable burden ofinfectious diarrhea due to floods 16 3．2 Projeet the excessive incidence of infectious diarrhea due to flood in the future period ． 20 4 Quality control ． ． 23 Results ． ． 24 1 Result of the evaluation of attributable burden of infectious diarrhea due to floods in Nanning ． 24 】．1 Description ofthe disease and meteorological data ．24 1．2 Result from the generalized additive model 25 1．3 Resuit ofthe evaluation ofattributable burden 。28 2 Result of the projected excessive incidence of infectious diarrhea due to flood in Huaihua 3 l 2．1 Description ofthe disease and meteorological data ．31 2．2 Result#ore the distributed lag non-linear model ． ． ． ．32 2．3 Projected excessive incidence in the future period ．．38 万方数据 Discussion Discussion ．．42 1 Study design 42 2 Floods and infecfiOtIS diarrhea ．．42 3 Evaluation ofattributable burden ．43 4 Projected the excessive incidence in the future period ．44 Conclusions ． ． ．47 Limitations ．47 References ．．48 Acknowledgments ．．53 Published papers ．55 Table for Dissertation rating and defense ．．57 万方数据 山东大学硕士学位论文归因于暴雨洪涝的感染性腹泻疾病负担评价及预估研究 山东大学硕士学位论文 归因于暴雨洪涝的感染性腹泻疾病负担评价及预估研究 硕士