广州市地面沉降危险性评价研究-自然地理学专业论文.docxVIP

AbstractLand Abstract Land subsidence is one of the most serious geological disasters，which will hamper the sustainable development ofcities along sea， Guangzhou is located in Pearl River delta，land subsidence has been appearance and will be more serious．Complex geology environment and obvious fault structure and drastic human activity lead to this trend． This paper has studied land subsidence on the basis of natural disaster science， and analyzed the basic characters of environment，hazards and disaster bodies of Guangzhou，and summarized the characters and distribution rules of land subsidence． Land subsidence in Guangzhou has some characters such as covered and regional and sociality and loss，land subsidence occurred in Tianhe mad Liwan and from railway station to east station．The formation of land subsidence result in either natural reason or human activities，the latter include drawing excess groundwater and drastic engineer build activities，it is the most important hazards． Paper choose lithosphere stability and the quaternary geology and human activity as three basic condition layers，and filtered nine indexes to build fatalness appraisement index system，they are fault and lithosphere stability and lithosphere movement velocity and the quaternary sediment lithology and thickness and groundwater type and rock lithology and human activity intensity and engineer intensity． Paper built the basal database of land subsidence fatalness appraisement based on the basic maps and geological materials and information from field．Paper applied fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to built land subsidence fatalness appraisement mathematic model after indexes being quantified and their weight being evaluated， and applied this model to calculate each鲥d fatalness grade．The result tells US，there are five fatalness grades in study area．the most dangerous zone distribute in the sides of pearl river，the more dangerous zone distribute in north of Guangcong fault，the basic stable grade zone