风险管理软件CrystalBall使用指导中英文.docVIP

Monte-Carlo Simulation with Crystal Ball? 用水晶球软件进行蒙特卡洛模拟 To run a simulation using Crystal Ball?: Setup Spreadsheet 1．设定数据表 Build a spreadsheet that will calculate the performance measure (e.g., profit) in terms of the inputs (random or not). For random inputs, just enter any number. 通过建立数据表可以对输入数据（随机的，非随机）进行评估。随机数据的输入，输入任意数即可。 2. Define Assumptions—i.e., random variables Define which cells are random, and what distribution they should follow. 2．定义假设的前提—例如，随机变量 确定那些单元格的数据时随机的，这些数据应该服从什么样的分布 3. Define Forecast—i.e., output or performance measure Define which cell(s) you are interested in foreca