中国烟草经济分析.ppt

中医大07卫管 中医大07卫管 中医大07卫管 * 中医大07卫管 * Analysis on Chinese Tobacco Economy mid-term review coping strategy specific measures feasibility analysis Tobacco consumption on the actual impact of the national economy * 中医大07卫管 * 2010-5-31* 中医大07卫管 * The impact of tobacco consumption Expand the income gap Increase the economic losses Medical costs Human Capital Total economy Do harm to peoples health and public health Conclusion The effect of tobacco industry on the national economy is negative, the more prospers of the tobacco industry , the more damage will be done to the national economy. * 中医大07卫管 * coping strategy---configuration tobacco The reform direction: * 中医大07卫管 * coping strategy---configuration tobacco * 中医大07卫管 * Discussion The cost of control—benifit analysis The tobacco tax analysis * 中医大07卫管 * The cost of control—benifit analysis * 中医大07卫管 * Increase tobacco tax analysis Demand reduction of tobacco Tobacco consumption reduction of social harm Increase the quota of tax * 中医大07卫管 * Demand reduction of tobacco 一包烟提价10%预计平均可使香烟需求量在高收入国家减少约4% ,而在中低收入国家可减少约8% ,因为较低的收入往往使人们对价格变化更加敏感[1]。 儿童和青少年比年长的成人对提价更加敏感,因此这一干预措施将对他们产生重大影响[2]。 * 中医大07卫管 * [1]Buck,David, C. Godfrey,M. Raw, andM. Sutton. 1995. Tobacco and Jobs. York, U. K. : Society for the Study of Ad diction and the Centre for Health Economics,University of York. [2] Chaloupka, F. J. , and H. wechsler. 1997. “Price, Tobacco Control Policies and SmokingAmong Young Adults. ”Journal of Health Economics 16 (3) : 359 - 73. Feasibility analysis The effect of ban smoking indoor The effect of ban teenager smoking Ban cigarette advertising and promotional activities The effect of the advertisement against tobacco consumption Increase the effect of tobacco tax * 中医大07卫管 * 1.1The effect of ban smoking indoor * 中医大07卫管 * 1.2The effect of ban teenager smoking * 中医大07卫管 * 1.3 Ban cigarette advertising VS Advertisement against tobacco * 中医大07卫管 * 1.3 Ban cigarette advertising VS Advertiseme