山东省住宿与餐饮业产出的空间分布及其影响因素分析.docVIP

山东省住宿彌因帥斤 2017-08-08 20:32:59科学与管理20仃年3期 谢爱良刘忠秀 摘要：以柯布?道格拉斯牛?产函数为理论框架，运用空间自相关Moran指数、空间滞后模世和空 间误差模型方法，选取2015年山东省十七个地级市经济发展的相关数据，对山东省市域住宿与餐饮 业产出进行了空间计量经济测算，分析了其产出的空间相关性与空间差异性，同时探讨了资本、劳动 力等要素对其产出相互影响的作用。基于邻接矩阵的分析表明，山东省住宿与餐饮业呈现明显的空间 负相关性和空间差异性。空间误差模型分析得到的结果町信度故高，可以有效地对区域住宿与餐饮业 产出进行空间计量分析。在利用极大似然法估算空间误差模空的基础匕进一步使用广义矩来估算空间 误差模型、广义空间两阶段最小二乘法來估算联合模型。估算结果表明，劳动力投入对住宿与餐饮业 产出的贡献明显大于资木投入，生产要素投入处于规模报酬递增阶段。在制定有关政策时，需要考虑 邻近市域Z间的相互影响，引导市场合理调配生产要素，提髙其空间配置效率。 关键词：住宿与餐饮业；影响因索；空间计量分析；山东省 中图分类号:F719.3； F49 文献编码:A DOI： 10.3969/j.issn,1003-8256.2017.03.010 Abstract： This paper takes Cobb-Douglas production function as the theoretical framework. Spatial Moran index of autocorrelation, Spatial Lag Model (SLM) and Spatial Error Model (SEM) are used to analyze the accommodation and catering industry output of 17 urban regions in Shan dong Provi nee based on the statistical data of year 2015. We discuss the spatial correlation and spatial differenee of the accommodation and catering industry output. This paper studies impact of accommodati on and cateri ng industry in flue ncing factors on in dustrial spatial characteristics, which in eludes total net assets, all average of en gaged pers ons, per capita gross domestic product. Accommodation and catering industry output in Shandong Provinee present negative spatial correlation dependence and spatial difference? The reliability of the results obtained by the Spatial Error Model (SEM) analysis is the highest. The SEM model can effectively estimate the regional accommodation and catering industry elasticity coefficients under the premise of spatial relationship. The output of labor in put is sign ifica ntly greater tha n the capital in vestme nt for accommodation and cateri ng in dustr y. Factors of producti on in put are in the stage of scale in creasi ng retur ns. We need to consider the mutual in flue nee betwee n the neighbori ng cities in the formulati on of relevant policies. We must guide the market to rati on ally allocate producti on fact