我国对外贸易与经济增长关系的研究硕士学位论文.docVIP

摘 要 经济增长一直是经济学研究的核心内容之一，第二次世界大战以来，由于新科技革命的出现，进一步推动了生产和交换活动的国际化进程，大大加深了各国间的相互往来与依赖。当今的世界很少有国家能够封闭锁国而取得经济的迅速发展，发展对外贸易，对任何国家的国民经济而言都显得十分重要。 改革开放以来，我国对外贸易发展迅速，对外贸易规模不断扩大，推动了我国的经济增长。今天，当我们重新审视各国经济增长所面临的大环境时，会发现我们生活在一个与过去截然不同的世界。中国的经济发展进入了更加开放的国际竞争时代，同时也面临着更为激烈的挑战。随着经济一体化和全球化趋势的不断深入，作为世界第三大贸易国的中国其对外贸易对经济的影响应会越来越大，贸易对经济增长影响的问题引起了国内外学者的广泛关注，因此对我国对外贸易与经济增长的作用进行分析具有重要的理论意义和实际意义。 本文以经济增长理论为依据，通过大量的数据，考查了进口、出口等时间序列的平稳性，同时运用协整理论，对出口和进口贸易与经济增长之间关系进行协整检验，得出结论:中国的经济增长与出口、进口之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系，长期内对外贸易对经济增长的促进作用显著。 同时，文章对我国对外贸易的现状进行了分析，指出了我国现阶段对外贸易中存在的问题，最后还针对存在的问题提出了适合我国经济增长的对外贸易模式和政策选择。 关键词: 出口贸易，进口贸易，经济增长，协整检验，误差回归 ABSTRACT Economic Growth is always the key content of Economy research, Since the World War II, the international process of producing and exchanging have been greatly promoted because of the new science and technology revolution. Countries becomes more and more rely on each other. No one can get a fast economic growth in a block out environment. Developing the foreign trade seems to be the most important thing to every country. Since the reform and opening-up, Our foreign trade developing rapidly and the scale of foreign trade becoming larger and larger, which drives the economy growing fast. Today, when we restudying the environment each country faces, We can realize we are living in a totally different world from before. Our economic development has entered into an international competition age which is more open than before, we have to face more drastic challenges. With the constant developing of economic integration and globalization, China, as the third largest international trade country, has played an important role to the international economy. The issues arising from international trade have attracted widely attentions, So demonstration analyzing the relations between foreign trade and Economic growth is very useful both in theory and empirical. This thesis is based on the theory of economic growth, verified the stability of time series for import and export thro