跨流域调水的水资源系统模拟及联合运用研究-水文学及水资源专业论文.docx

AbstractAbstract Abstract Abstract Water is the spring of life．And the water resources is unsubstituted resource by which hunlan exists and society deVelops．With the incessant population increase，the social and economic rapid deVelopment，and the ecological enViromnent improVement， water shonage is becoming constraint factor in the deVelopment of the region，the world and even the global．Interbasin watertransfers is an effectiVe manner that can settle the uneVen distribution of regional water resources to achieVe the district—optimal allocation of water resources In this paper，the research area is the South—to—Nonh water Transfer Project’s east line Dongping Lake—Jinan city(for shon Jiping Channel)，the water resources simulation and optimal a110cation in tlle inte卜basin diVersion system studied The histo巧of the inter—basin diVersion of water resources is discussed，and then the content and features of the inte卜basin diversion of water resources system are depicted．The rese2urch is also analyzed．Then，the fr锄e and composition of Jinan City’s water resources system is analyzed．On the basis of analyzing study area， the basin infb册ation is extracted f}om the data elevation model，based on the infonnation．A distributed water resources simulation model is deVeloped． The calibration and validation of the par锄eters also studied by the SCE—UA algorithm． Then，the model is applied{’or water resources simulation to the Dawenhe basin，and the simulation results proVes the rationality and reliability of the simulation model． For the water resources optimal allocation，on the basis of analyzing water demand prediction method and its afI色ct factors，the application of anincial neural network method and the indicator analyzing method in water demand prediction was discussed． Funhemore，in accordance with the objectiVe and principles of optimal a110cation of water resources，the model of water resources optimal a110cation is established，in which multi—water supply is considered．According to th