商务时间序列定性建模与仿真-计算机应用技术专业论文.docxVIP

Abstract ABSTRACT Business Modeling and Simulation of complex systems have been given extensive attention in recent years，many domestic and foreign companies; research institutions have invested a lot of energy on it.ηl?s paper considers inventory time series in supply chain，using a qualitative modeling and simulation methods ，which has a great difTerence from previous research methods. ηús topic selected business time series from a complex supply chain system inventory data，which constitutes the time series for inventory data modeling analysis. The article will apply the maximum Lyapunov index time series forecasting methods for quantitative analysis，deriving forecasts results. Then，combined with qualitative knowledge of quantitative and qualitative algoritlun to predict the resul阳 of further analysis and processing. By comparing the analysis，we can draw a conclusion that the combination of quantit创ive and qualitative time series modeling and simulation methods results are more reasonable and accurate. This paper presents qualitative simulation of business time series modeling and forecasting methodology ，which can provide a good reference for the study of complex systems，由e current mo牛ling and forecasting methods applied ωthe complex economic systems is not too much.ηlis paper presents simulation modeIing and forecasting methods based on qual?tative knowledge used in supply chain business time series，which can improve the supply chain inventory capacity to respond to market; allowing ente叩rises to reduce or eliminate the low transmission of information in the supply chain or the wrong time of production sending and misleading inventory plans;ωrrect ?ntegration of information and analysis of the survival and development of the ente叩nsωhas played a vital role; through the supply chain，time series forecasting，reasonable control inventory，reduce unnecessaη，expenses enterprises can improve co叩orate profits rate. In addition，this paper presen