中国GDP生产核算的基本情况及主要问题TheOverview-OECDorg.ppt

Inter-relationship Between China’s Input-Output Estimation, production-based GDP and Expenditure-based GDP PENG Zhilong Department of National Accounts, NBS Content Introduction The relationship between input-output estimation and GDP at production and expenditure approach The relationship between GDP at production approach and GDP at expenditure approach Difficulties and doubts Introduction China started it’s GDP estimation from production side at 1985, GDP estimation from expenditure side at 1992, and input-output estimation at 1987 (which had been compiled before this year, but it was at 1987 that NBS began to compile formally). The three accounts have made great progress through years of efforts, data source is getting more richful and accounting methods is becoming increasingly normative, which could provide more and more information. Introduction However, an inevitable outstanding question is that the data source and measurement of these accounts are lack of close inter-relationship, and the accounting contents appear to be independent with each other in practice, therefore it is difficult to guarantee the consistency of the results. I. The relationship between input-output estimation and GDP at production and expenditure approach 1. What are the contents of input-output survey? I-O survey targets at major products of enterprises and at enterprises or corporations for service industry, which belongs to a kind of major survey on the whole. There are several structures contained in the survey, including：the structure of intermediate input of products (enterprises or corporations)；the structure of value-added (the proportion of depreciation, compensation of employees, net production tax and operating surplus)；the structure of household consumption；the structure of fixed capital formation; the structure of inventory; and the structure of imports and exports. I. The relationship between input-output estimation and GDP at productio