中央银行独立性与通胀：理论与实证--毕业论文.docVIP

中央银行独立性与通胀：理论与实证--毕业论文 暨南大学硕士学位论文 中央银行独立性与通胀:理论与实证 摘要 从1694年英格兰银行成立算起,中央银行体制存在已经有300多年的历史了。 自20世纪金本位制退出历史舞台而代之以信用货币制度后,通货膨胀就成为许多 国家的“梦魇”,这就使得币值稳定成为中央银行的首要任务。本文首先对中央 银行独立性内涵进行探讨,并对我国中央银行独立性的内涵进行分析以试图给出 适合我国国情的中央银行独立性定义,回顾了中央银行独立性的演变过程,分析 20世纪80年代后世界各国纷纷增强其中央银行独立性的原因,对我国中央银行独 立性的制度变迁作简要阐述。然后回顾了Rogoff的保守银行家理论并对一些收入 不平等、通胀与央行独立性三者关系的理论进行考察。昀后通过理论分析与实证 检验的方法对我国央行独立性与通胀的关系,收入不平等与通胀的关系及央行独 立性所能起到的作用进行研究。通过研究本文得出以下结论:我国中央银行独立 性的增强有利于抑制通胀;同时收入不平等也成为引致通胀的一个经验性因素, 央行独立性越强,越能有效抑制收入不平等引起的通货膨胀。在上述分析基础之 上,作者提出了相应的政策建议。关键词:中央银行独立性 通货膨胀 收入不平等 3 暨南大学硕士学位论文 中央银行独立性与通胀:理论与实证 ABSTRACTThe central bank system has been there for about three hundred years since the first central bank ?the bank of England was established in 1694.Since the replacement of gold standard money by fiat money in 20th century, inflation has haunting many countrySo maintain the stability of money has become the most important function of the central bankFirstly, this paper discuss the connotation of central bank independence. Then the author has analyze the connotation of Chinese central bank independence, try to develop the definition of Chinese central bank independence and the central bank institutional involved. The author also analyses the reason of many country increased central bank independence, and he briefly set forth Chinese central bank independence of institutional involve. Finally, the author theory and empirical study the relationship of Chinese central bank independence and inflation, the relationship of income inequality and inflation and the function of central bank independence. The conclusion is: the negative relationship between central bank independence and inflation is quiet robust. Income is an antecedent of inflation, the greater central bank independence inhibits inflation cause by income inequality. Base on the analysis above, the author put forwards some policy implications Key word: central bank independenceinflationincome inequality 4 暨南大学硕士学位