evercore isi-能源-石油和天然气勘探与生产-清理2017小周期,迎来负面修订-2017.716let the negative revisions roll.pdf

evercore isi-能源-石油和天然气勘探与生产-清理2017小周期,迎来负面修订-2017.716let the negative revisions roll.pdf

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Energy | Oil Gas Exploration Production July 16, 2017 Stephen Richardson Let the Negative Revisions Roll 212-446-5639 Washing out the (mini)cycle of 2017 stephen.richardson@ The sector entered the quiet period ahead of 2Q reports this week and lack of Daniel Walk newsflow seemed to provide some solace for the equities. In reality, positioning is 212-446-5616 likely such that stronger broader market trends can prove supportive for energy daniel.walk@ equities (XOP up 4.1% wow) and oil price (WTI flat price up $1.81/bbl). As we prepare for 2Q reports and speak with investors, our view has been that 2Q trends per se are unlikely to be the central focus, rather the keys to watch are 1) the trajectory of Section Table o Contents Page both capex spend and production into year-end and 2) what (if anything) producers Model Updates 3 indicate about 2018+ capital production growth plans in a sub-$50/bbl environment. Dialed In or Dialing Back? 4 This Week in Review: North American EP 7 We think it is early to see significant revisions to 2018, but producers should be Ratings Thesis 8 Evercore ISI Commodity

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