NBER美国国民经济研究局-NBER-Cognitive-Uncertainty.pdf

用户上传 更多免费报告请查看研报客 NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES COGNITIVE UNCERTAINTY Benjamin Enke Thomas Graeber Working Paper 26518 /papers/w26518 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 November 2019 Both authors contributed equally to this project. The experiments in this paper were pre- registered in the AEA RCT registry as trial AEARCTR-0004493. For helpful comments and discussions we are grateful to Rahul Bhui, Nicola Gennaioli, Sam Gershman, Pietro Ortoleva, Matthew Rabin, Josh Schwartzstein,Frederik Schwerter, Florian Zimmermann, and in particular Xavier Gabaix and Andrei Shleifer. Seminar audiences at Hamburg, Harvard Econ, Harvard Psych, Sloan / Nomis 2019 and SITE Experimental Economics 2019 provided valuable comments. Graeber thanks the Sloan Foundation and Enke the Foundations of Human Behavior Initiative for financial support. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.