区间理论在断层区储气库最大运行压力预测中的应用.PDFVIP

第43卷第 10期 中国测试 Vol.43 No.10 2017年10月 CHINA MEASUREMENT TEST October，2017 doi院10.11857/j.issn.1674-5124.2017.10.002 区间理论在断层区储气库最大运行压力预测中的应用 于本福 袁 闫相祯1 2 渊1.临沂大学土木工程与建筑学院袁山东 临沂 276000曰2. 中国石油大学渊华东冤储运与建筑工程学院袁山东 青岛 266580冤 摘 要院考虑岩体参数不确定性对不活动断层破坏的影响袁将断层危险系数作为分析储气库最大运行压力的依据袁利 用测井资料及区间理论得到注气后断层危险系数的置信区间袁根据断层危险系数置信区间得出储气库断层稳定的最 大运行压力遥 利用该方法对国内某油田区块改建储气库后断层危险系数置信区间及最大运行压力进行预测袁并与数 值模拟结果进行比较遥 结果表明院随着断层倾角的增大袁断层危险系数先增大后减小袁并且当断层倾角兹与岩石内摩 擦角准的关系为兹=45毅+准/2时袁断层危险系数最大袁断层最易破坏曰考虑参数不确定性运用区间理论计算所得到的储 气库最大运行压力为23.6MPa袁为保证储气库安全可选取最大运行压力置信区间的下限作为储气库最大运行压力遥 关键词院地下储气库曰区间理论曰断层曰危险系数曰最大运行压力 文献标志码院A 文章编号院1674-5124渊2017冤10-0006-08 Application of interval theory in maximum operating pressure prediction of gas storage in fault zone 1 2 YU Benfu 袁 YAN Xiangzhen 渊1.School of Civil Engineering and Architecture袁Linyi University袁Linyi 276000袁China曰 2.College of Pipeline and Civil Engineering袁China University of Petroleum袁Qingdao 266580袁China冤 Abstract: Considering the influence of rock parameters uncertainty on the damages to inactive faults袁 the maximum operating pressure for the stability of fault at gas storage was obtained according to the confidence interval of fault risk coefficient by taking the fault risk coefficient as the basis for maximum operating pressure analysis of gas storage and using the confidence interval of fault risk coefficient obtained according to the logging data and interval theory after gas injection. Using the above method袁 the confidence interval of risk coefficient and maximum