生产计划与控制试卷答案(A卷).docxVIP

《生产计划与控制》试卷答案（ A 卷） 1. Ft = Dt-1 + (1- )Ft-1 a) FFeb = (.25)(23.3) + (.75)(25) = 24.58 FMarch = (.25)(72.3) + (.75)( 24.58) = 36.51 FApr = (.25)(30.3) + (.75)( 36.51) = 42.50 FMay = (.25)(15.5) + (.75)( 42.50) = 34.96 b) FFeb = (.40)(23.3) + (.60)(25) = 24.32 FMarch = 43.47 FApr = 38.20 FMay = 29.12 Compute MAD MSE for February through April: Month Error (a) Error (b) ( = .25) ( = .40) Feb 47.72 47.88 Mar 6.21 13.17 Apr 27.00 22.70 MAD = 26.98 27.92 MSE = 1014.92 993.74 = .15 gave a better forecast 2. a) Cum Cum Net Net #Units/ #Units Demand Demand Worker /Worker Forecast Forecast Min # Year (in 1000) (in 1000) (in 1000) (in 1000) Workers 1 30 30 280 280 10 2 30 60 120 400 7 3 30 90 200 600 7 4 30 120 110 710 6 5 30 150 135 845 6 Minimum constant work force = 10 workers b) Cum Cum #Units/ Yearly Yearly Net Ending Year Worker Production Production Demand Inventory 1 30 300 300 280 20 2 30 300 600 400 200 3 30 300 900 600 300 4 30 300 1200 710 490 5 30 300 1500 845 655 1665 CH = 500, CF year per worker.  = 1,000, CI  = .04 per package and  payroll costs are $25,000 per There are exactly 10 - 3 = 7 workers hired in year 1. Hence the total cost of the constant work force plan is (500)(7)  + (.04)(1665000)  + (10)(25,000)(5)  = $1,320,100. 3. (12)(52) = 624 units per year (12)(3) = 36 units per lead time = 4 3 = 6.9282 h = (.2)(4) = $0.80 K=$75 p = $25 EOQ = (2)(75)(624) = 342. 0.8 1 - F(R 0 ) = (342)(.8)/(25)(624) = .0174. From Table A-4, z = 2.11, L(z) = .0063, n(R) = L(z) = .04365. Q1 =(2)(624) 75 (25)(.04365) = 345. .8 1 - F(R 1 ) = (345)(.8)/(25)(624) = .0177. Table A-4 gives z = 2.105 which is close enough to the previous z value to stop. R = z + = (6.9282)(2.105) + 36 = 51 Q = 345. Hence the optimal solution to part a) is (Q,R) = (345,51). 4. assuming that the truck capacity is 250 loaves instead of 300 loaves. Since (1,2) is the first pair in the ranking consider linking (1,2) without violating the constraint. Since the tot