美赛： 特等奖1926224---数学建模.pdfVIP

Summary We create an ecosystem service valuation model to understand the true cost of land use projects by modeling the value of the unaffected ecosystem services and the extent in which they are impacted by the land use develop- ment. Due to these considerations the model is most capable of evaluating the value of ecosystem services that are most likely to be damaged by land development. We achieve this by considering variables from the land use project itself and variables from the location the project will be built in. The variables we consider for the project are the area and how eco- friendly it is. The variables we consider for the environment of the projects are the biome, its proximity to urban centers, precipitation, cost of energy in the region, and canopy coverage. When evaluating the ecosystem services themselves, we divided the type of services into two broad categories: direct and indirect use ser- vices. We draw upon a variety of well-established methods for valuation including, but not limited to: market-based valuation, the replacement cost method, avoided costs, and benefit transfer. We also utilize two data sets: The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity Valuation Database (TEEB) and Emergy Society’s Database. Our model is tested on six different case studies, finding the total mon- etary cost of the ecosystem services affected by land use projects: Project Ecological Cost (USD) Road construction in Cairo, Egypt $219 Housing in Washington, US $502 Facebook MPK20 in CA, US $19,110 Road construction in Hobart, Australia $1.7 million ´ Vıa Verde Pipeline in Puerto Rico $642 million