中国蔬菜农产品出口贸易影响因素研究—基于引力模型的实证分析（英文版）.docxVIP

PAGE PAGE 24 中国蔬菜农产品出口贸易影响因素研究——基于引力模型的实证分析 Abstract Distance and economic scale between trading countries promote or restrain the trade flow of bilateral agricultural products. It is generally believed that the potential supply of exporting countries and the potential demand of importing countries are the main factors affecting trade flows. On the one hand, distance refers to the transportation costs caused by the geographical distance between two trading countries, and also includes the costs of obtaining information and communicating with each. The farther the distance between trading countries is, the higher the cost of various trade will be, and more unfavorable the trade of agricultural products. Based on the vegetable trade flow data of 30 countries and regions, the gravitate model of vegetable trade flow in China was constructed by gradually adding cultivated land area, population and exchange rate. The relationship between the export trade flow of vegetable and agricultural products in China and the economic scale, per capita cultivated land area, total population, distance between the two countries and the exchange rate of China were discussed. The results indicate that the export trade flow of vegetable products in China is positively correlated with the economic scale, per capital cultivated land area and exchange rate of the trading countries, and negatively correlated with the distance between the two countries and the total population. Countermeasures and suggestions are provided to enhance Chinas international competitiveness of vegetable products and promote the further development of Chinas vegetable products trade. Key Words: vegetables production trade; influencing factors; gravity model Introduction 1.1 Research Background and Significance 1.1.1 Research Background Since Chinas reform and opening up, the export volume of vegetable and agricultural products has been increasing. In the early 1990s, the export volume of vegetable agricultural pr