数模美赛08年A题.pdfVIP

,. Abstract The global temperature is rising rapidly today which has caused an extensive ice melt, so the study of predicting rising sea level because of ice melt in North Polar is essential. Our study will try to predict the impact to Florida from melting ice in North Polar .Our studies have three steps:谢谢阅读 Predict the temperature: We did the prediction by Neural network and give the change of temperature in 50 years, based on a large amount of data from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC);感谢阅读    Model the mass of ice melting and the sea level: The sea level model is mainly based on the principle of Thermodynamics and iteration. The results demonstrate that the sea level will rise by 10.8 cm totally in 50 years. Prediction of our model can be proved to be credible by consulting the data from IPCC. We introduce a correct term α to modify our model. We can change α to simulate sea level rise in different temperature condition.感谢阅读    Analyze the impacts to Florida: We model the erosion of Florida’s shoreline to make it clear that when sea level rise to a certain extent that Florida will face many serious problems such as flooding,感谢阅读 ,. destruction of biodiversity, (Health Care), Loss of agriculture production (salinization of soil) and so