过度自信心理研究及中国股市过度反应检验的开题报告.docxVIP

过度自信心理研究及中国股市过度反应检验的开题报告 摘要 自信是个体在面对重要任务时所表现出的信心与决心，是一种有益的心理特征，但当过度自信时，会导致决策失误、自我高估和系统风险加剧等负面影响。本文旨在探究自信心理对决策行为的影响，特别是在中国股市过度反应的情境下自信心理对投资决策的影响，以对中国股市的风险管理提供参考。 本研究首先综述了过度自信理论的发展和影响机制，接着讨论了中国股市过度反应现象以及影响机制。基于文献研究的结论，本研究提出了以下假设：1）过度自信会导致股市投资者偏离理性决策，从而使其往往做出错误决策。2）当股市过度反应时，过度自信的投资者会更加倾向于跟从市场热点，从而加剧股市波动。3）过度自信的投资者的投资行为更易受到情绪因素的支配，从而造成投资资产的浪费和系统风险的加剧。本研究将运用数据分析的方法对这些假设进行检验。 本研究的研究目标是研究自信心理对投资决策的影响和中国股市的过度反应情况。通过对中国股市历史数据和投资者问卷调查数据进行实证研究，本研究旨在探究过度自信心理对投资决策的影响，以及在中国股市过度反应情况下，过度自信心理对投资决策的影响。本研究将采用多元线性回归分析，以及卡方分析等方法对数据进行分析，进一步了解自信心理对投资决策的影响。最后，本研究将提出关于提高投资者自我认知和风险管理建议，以此帮助投资者更好地理解自我和市场，提高决策质量和风险管理水平。 关键词：自信心理；过度自信；股市过度反应；投资决策；系统风险；风险管理 Abstract Confidence is the confidence and determination that individuals show in face of important tasks, which is a beneficial psychological feature. However, when over-confident, it can lead to decision-making errors, self-overestimation, and increased systemic risk. This paper aims to explore the impact of self-confidence psychology on decision-making behavior, especially the impact of self-confidence psychology on investment decision-making in the context of over-reaction of Chinas stock market, to provide a reference for risk management in the Chinese stock market. This study first reviews the development and impact mechanism of overconfidence theory, followed by a discussion of the phenomenon of over-reaction in Chinas stock market and its impact mechanisms. Based on the conclusions of literature research, this study proposes the following hypotheses: 1) Overconfidence will lead to deviation from rational decision-making of stock market investors, and thus they tend to make mistakes. 2) When the stock market overreacts, overconfident investors are more likely to follow market hotspots, thereby exacerbating stock market volatility. 3) Overconfident investors investment behavior is more subject to emotional factors, resulting in waste of investment assets and increased systemic risk. This study will use data analysis methods to test these