剑桥-美元贬值的金融灾难压力测试(英).pdf

剑桥-美元贬值的金融灾难压力测试(英).pdf

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TheCambridgeCentreforRiskStudiesacknowledgesthegeneroussupportprovidedforthisresearchbythefollowingorganizationsResearchbythefollowingorganizationsRMSFNAXLCATLINTheviewscontainedinthisreport

CambridgeCentreforRiskStudies

CambridgeCentreforRiskStudies

CambridgeRiskFramework

CambridgeRiskFramework

De-AmericanizationoftheGlobalFinancialSystem

De-AmericanizationoftheGlobalFinancialSystem

DOLLARDEPOSED

DOLLARDEPOSED

STRESSTEST

STRESSTEST

SCENARIO

SCENARIO

Centrefor

RiskStudies

UNIVERSITYOF

CAMBRIDGE

JudgeBusinessSchool

CambridgeCentreforRiskStudies

CambridgeCentreforRiskStudies

UniversityofCambridgeJudgeBusinessSchool

UniversityofCambridgeJudgeBusinessSchool

TrumpingtonStreet

TrumpingtonStreet

Cambridge,CB21AG

Cambridge,CB21AG

UnitedKingdom

UnitedKingdom

enquiries.risk@jbs.cam.ac.uk

enquiries.risk@jbs.cam.ac.uk

http://www.risk.jbs.cam.ac.uk

http://www.risk.jbs.cam.ac.uk

December2015

December2015

TheCambridgeCentreforRiskStudiesacknowledgesthegeneroussupportprovidedforthis

researchbythefollowingorganisations:

researchbythefollowingorganisations:

RMSFNA

XLCATLIN

TheviewscontainedinthisreportareentirelythoseoftheresearchteamoftheCambridgeCentreforRiskStudies,and

donotimplyanyendorsementoftheseviewsbytheorganisationssupportingtheresearch.

Thisreportdescribesahypotheticalscenariodevelopedasastresstestforriskmanagementpurposes.Itdoesnot

constituteaprediction.TheCambridgeCentreforRiskStudiesdevelopshypotheticalscenariosforuseinimproving

businessresiliencetoshocks.Thesearecontingencyscenariosusedfor‘what-if’studiesanddonotconstituteforecasts

ofwhatislikelytohappen.

ofwhatislikelytohappen.

De-AmericanizationoftheFinancialSystemStressTestScenario

DollarDeposed

DollarDeposed

Contents

Contentss

1ExecutiveSummary4

2FinancialCatastropheStressTestScenarios

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