代购电用户用电量影响因素的画像分析.pdfVIP

电力系统及其自动化

PowerSystemAutomation

代购电用户用电量影响因素的画像分析

韩跃峻，张洋，陆斌，杜漾腾”，辛洁晴？

（1.国网上海市北供电公司，上海200072;2.上海交通大学电气工程系，上海200240）

摘要：为掌握代购电用户月用电量的影响因素，提出一种代购电用户的画像方法。从周日类型、节假日、气温、电价敏感性维度构建

特征指标，分别将卡方值和提升度指标用于周日类型和节假日敏感性分析，克服了传统灵敏度指标难以分析分类指标灵敏度

的问题；进而通过指标的标签化和归类，获得代购电用户分类的多角度描绘。上海某地的实例应用验证了所提方法的可行性，

可进一步用于代购电量的分类预测方法设计。

关键词：代购电；用户画像；电量预测；分类变量；关联分析；电力市场

D0I:10.3969/j.issn.1000-3886.2023.06.003

5［文献标志码］A［文章编号］1000-3886(2023)06-0007-03

［中图分类号]TM715

PortraitAnalysisofFactorsAffectingElectricityConsumption

byPurchasingElectricityonBehalfofCustomers

HanYuejun,ZhangYang,LuBin,DuYangteng”,XinJieqing?

(1.ShibeiElectricitySupplyCompany,SMEPC,Shanghai200072,China;

2.Dept.ofEE,ShanghaiJiaoTongUniversity,Shanghai200240,China)

Abstract:Inordertograspthefactorsaffectingthemonthlyelectricityconsumptionofelectricitypurchasingonbehalfofcustomers,aprofiling

methodforelectricitypurchasingservicewasproposed.ConstructingcharacteristicindicatorsfromthesensitivitydimensionsofSunday

type,holidays,temperature,andelectricityprice,respectivelyusingchisquarevaluesandimprovementdegreeindicatorsforSunday

typeandholidaysensitivityanalysis,theproblemoftraditionalsensitivityindicatorsbeingdifficultlyusedtoanalyzethesensitivityof

classificationindicatorswasovercome;furthermore,throughthelabelingandclassificationofindicators,amultiperspective

descriptionoftheclassificationofpurchasingelectricityuserscanbeobtained.Thefeasibilityoftheproposedmethodwasverified

throughanexampleapplicationatacertainlocationin