石油化工储存装置定量风险评价方法研究.pdfVIP

2011 379 September 2011 Industrial Safety and Environmental Protection 7 * 张晶晶 张礼敬 陶刚 ( , 210009) 3 , , , 4 , Study on QuantitativeRiskAssessment for Storage Devices of Petrochemical Industry ZHANG Jingjing ZHANG Lijing TAO Gang ( JiangsuK ey Laboratory of Urban and Industrial Saf ety , School of Urban Construction and Safety Engineering, Nanjing University of Technology Nanj ing 210009 h Abstract Firstly, thr ways, basic failur eprobability database, fault tr analysis ( FTA) and event tr analysis ( ETA) ar xtracted to 中 t determin eoccurrenc eprobability of major accidents; secondly, it is described th ffect of meteorological condition and pouplation density on 国 th erisk and th edeterminationmethods and also method of using zone- grid model to calculat eindividual risk and social risk is given; finally t quantitativerisk assessment softwar efor petrochemical storag edevices is developed, which is applied to calculateth edistribution of individual 锅 p risk prodcued in four storag edevices of a chemical factory and th ecalculation results can better express th erisk condition of th efactory. 炉 Key Words quantitativerisk assessment storag edevices accident probability petrochemical risk assessment softwar : 压 / / 0 , 1982 COVO 力 w [ 3- 4] , , 1998 , ;