城市竞争力与房地产市场关系实证研究与评价.pdfVIP

华东师范大学硕士论文 城市竞争力与房地产市场关系实证研究与评价 摘 要 当今社会，科学技术日新月异，经济一体化突飞猛进，人类不仅开始了一个信 息和知识的新时代、经济科技全球化的新时代，也开始了一个竞争全球化的新时代。 城市作为一个新的竞争主体，越来越引起人们的关注。 本文首先介绍了城市竞争力的概念和国内外关于城市竞争力与房地产市场关系 研究的情况，并对目前城市竞争力与房地产市场关系的研究进行了评价与分析。在 借鉴以前的研究成果的基础上，本文提出了城市竞争力与房地产市场关系的理论基 础，并进行了实证研究。 首先遵循科学性、合理性、可操作性、系统性的原则，分别提出了评价城市竞 争力和房地产市场的指标体系，并构建了研究二者关系的函数模型。通过计量回归 分析，从静态角度分析了二者的互动关系。 然后选取特定指标，采用增长率直接法、h-p 滤波法等计量分析方法，对城市经 济周期与房地产市场周期的关系进行了实证研究，从动态角度证明了二者的相互联 系。 最后根据分析结果，结合上海正在建设国际经济、金融、贸易、航运中心的背 景，以及当前上海城市竞争力与房地产市场的现状与问题，提出了今后促进上海城 市竞争力与房地产市场协调发展，从而提升上海综合竞争力的具体政策建议。 关键词：城市竞争力；房地产市场；上海；理论分析；实证分析 5 华东师范大学硕士论文 城市竞争力与房地产市场关系实证研究与评价 ABSTRACT Today, science and technology is developing by leaps and bounds, and the world economics is integrating very quickly, humans not only started a new era of information and knowledge, a new era of economic and technological globalization, but also began a new era of global competition. As a new competition subject, city has collected more and more attention than before. This article firstly introduced the concept of the urban competitiveness, and studies of domestic and foreign on the relationship between competitiveness and real estate market, and then evaluated current relationship between competitiveness and real estate market. In drawing on previous research based on the results, this article presents the theoretical basis of study on the relationship between real estate market and urban competitiveness, and conducted empirical research. First of all, following the systematic principlesscientific, rational, workable, this article put forward evaluation index systems of urban competitiveness and real estate market separately, and then built a function model for the study of this relati