广东出口贸易的可持续发展研究.pdfVIP

摘要摘要 摘要摘要 当代的国际贸易深重刻上了 “环保”的标记，环境与贸易问题作为可持续发 展的重要组成部分，已经引起国际社会的重视，也将对各个国家和地区的对外贸 易产生深远的影响。在这种形势下研究广东出口贸易的可持续发展就具有重大的 现实意义。 本文采用理论和模型实证、定性和定量相结合的方法对广东省的出口贸易进 行了研究。首先尝试从出口贸易的经济效益和生态效益角度创建测度出口贸易可 持续发展水平的分层评价指标体系，并利用灰色关联分析方法建立出口贸易可持 续发展水平时序评价模型，最后在考察广东出口贸易现状的基础上进行实证研 究。分析结果表明，1996-2005 年广东出口贸易的可持续发展综合水平总体上是 呈上升趋势的，但是也存在很多不可持续的问题，比如现行贸易发展模式与贸易 结构日益显现出弊端、出口经济效益低、综合竞争力弱、出口资源效益低下等。 文章最后在实证研究的基础上，提出了实现广东省出口贸易的可持续发展的 一些政策建议，希望对有关部门制定政策和学者研究有借鉴作用。 关键词关键词：：出口贸易 可持续发展 经济效益 生态效益 关键词关键词：： Ⅰ III Abstract Today the international trade is marked with the token of environmental protection. The issue about environment and trade, which is an important part of sustainable development, has been paid much attention by the international society and will affect the foreign trade of countries and areas. Under this situation it has an important realistic meaning to study the sustainable development of Guangdong’s export trade. This paper uses the method of combination of theory and model, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to study the sustainable development of Guangdong’s export trade. First it tries to establish the evaluation indexes system of export sustainable development level from the perspective of economic benefits and ecological benefits, and then utilizes the grey correlated method to set up the time sequences evaluation model of export sustainable development level, and finally make empirical research on Guangdong based