偏最小二乘回归在运动训练研究中应用.pdfVIP

第16卷第10期 体 育 学 刊 Vol.16 No.10 2009 年 10 月 Journal of Physical Education O c t . 2 0 0 9 ·竞赛与训练· 偏最小二乘回归在运动训练研究中的应用 马勇占15 （台州学院体育科学学院，浙江 临海 317000 ） 摘 要：OLS 逐步回归等变量删除法在处理运动训练领域的共线性数据时，会将一些重要的 解释变量或样本点排除在模型之外，从而削弱了理论的优先地位和导向功能。PCR 模型对系统信 息的综合与筛选能力不佳，拟合与预测精度不甚理想。PLS 对系统信息的综合与筛选能力强、拟 合与预测精度较高，是目前处理运动训练领域小样本多指标共线性数据的一个非常有效的统计方 法，并为运动训练学理论模型的实证检验提供了可能。其不足之处在于较难明确辨识所提取成分 的物理含义。 关 键 词：运动训练学；运动训练数理统计；偏最小二乘回归；回归建模 中图分类号：G80-32 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1006-7116(2009)10-0074-06 Application of deviated least squares regression in sports training MA Yong-zhan （Department of Physical Education ，Taizhou University ，Linhai 317000 ，China ） Abstract: When such variable deletion methods as OLS stepwise regression are used to process collinear data in the sports training area, they will reject some important explanatory variables or sample points out of the models, thus weakening the theoretical priority position and guidance function. The PCR model is not well capable of integrating and screening system information, and its fitting and predicting precisions are not so ideal. The PLS is well capable of integrating and screening system information, and its fitting and predicting precisions are relatively high; it is currently a very effective statistical method for processing collinear data with a small sample and multiple indexes in the sports training area, and it provides a possibility for the empirical test of theoretical models of sports training science, but it has some difficulty to specifically identify the physical meaning of components abstracted. Key words