湖南湘西莲花洞近500年来气候变化研究.pdfVIP

湖南湘西莲花洞近500 年来气候变化研究 殷建军 摘要：全球变暖、极端事件频发的背景下，未来亚洲季风降水将如何变化，极端事件发生的 机制如何，始终是气候变化的目标和方向。由于器测记录较短，利用古气候记录研究过去亚 洲季风降水和极端事件发生规律，就显得相当重要。本研究采集莲花洞正在生长文石笋，利 230 用 Th 测年技术、XRD 物相分析、碳氧同位素测试，并与当地气象记录进行对比，重建了 武陵山区近500 年来季风降水变化信息。比较当地旱涝指数，发现莲花洞LHD1 石笋δ18O 可以很好指示当地降水，同时反映了亚洲季风区大尺度的环流信号。记录中4 次干旱事件对 应太阳活动极小期和El Niño 事件的发生。LHD1 石笋δ18O 与中国东部温度在小冰期和现代 暖期前期很好相关，很好验证了海陆温差大，亚洲季风强，石笋δ18O 偏负的理论。在1950 以来，LHD1 石笋 δ18O 与温度的反相变化，可能指示了亚洲季风降水受到了人类活动的影 响。 A study on past 500 years Climate change based on an aragonite stalagmite collected from Lianhua Cave, Northwest Hunan province Jianjun Yin Abstract: As the global warming, high frequency of extreme events, what will the Asian monsoon precipitation change and what the mechanism of extreme events happen are very important for climate change study. Due to the short time series of instrumental record, it is important for us using paleoclimate record to study the mechanism of Asian monsoon precipitation and extreme 230 events happen. We collected an active aragonite from Lianhua cave, using Th dating, XRD analysis, oxygen and carbon isotope measurement, constructed the summer monsoon precipitation information in Wuling mountain area since the past 500 years. After compare with drought-wet index, we found the δ18O can ideally reflect local precipitation, and also the large-scale monsoon circulation. Four drought events in our record were corresponded to the solar minimum and El Niño event happen. The good relationship between δ18O of stalagmite LHD1 and eastern China temperature support the theory of higher Land-ocean temperature contrast, the stronger Asian monsoon intensity and more negative of δ18O of stalagmite. Since ~AD 1950, the contrast of the relationship may due to human activity.