基于多元非线性回归阻塞管理优化模型.pdfVIP

2008 年 2 月 电 工 技 术 学 报 Vol.23 No. 2 第 23 卷第 2 期 TRANSACTIONS OF CHINA ELECTROTECHNICAL SOCIETY Feb. 2008 基于多元非线性回归的阻塞管理优化模型 李春燕 俞集辉 谢开贵 张 谦 史江凌 （重庆大学输配电装备及系统安全与新技术国家重点实验室 重庆 400044 ） 摘要 针对电力系统的非线性特性，本文建立了反映系统潮流与各机组出力间非线性关系的 多元非线性回归模型。应用变换思想将该非线性回归模型转化为线性回归模型，基于MontoCarlo 模拟法产生样本，进而应用最小二乘法求解模型。本文采用同时消除法，即根据非线性回归模型， 基于 Taylor 级数得到所有阻塞线路潮流越限量与各机组出力调整量之间的关系，以此构成等式约 束条件，从而建立以调整费用最小为目标的输电阻塞管理模型，并用拉格朗日乘子法进行求解。 该方法已应用于IEEE - RTS24 节点及其他实际系统，验证了该方法的有效性和正确性。 关键词：电力市场 输电阻塞管理 非线性回归 泰勒级数 中图分类号：TM715 Optimal Model of Congestion Management Based on Non-Linear Regression Li Chunyan Yu Jihui Xie Kaigui Zhang Qian Shi Jiangling （State Key Laboratory of Power Transmission Equipment System Security and New Technology Chongqing University Chongqing 400044 China ） Abstract In this paper, the non-linear regression model(NRM), which reflects the relationships between power flows and generations, is proposed according to the non-linear characteristic of power systems. The NRM is translated into the linear regression model by using the transpositional idea. Samples are simulated based on the MontoCarlo method and then the NRM is solved by using the least square method. The relations between power flow disturbance quantity of all congested lines and that of generation outputs are obtained based on Taylor series theory and the NRM, which make up of the equation restriction conditions of the congestion management model(CMM). The CMM is formulated to minimize the costs and is solved by using Lagrange method. The tests on IEEE-RTS24 buses system and other practical systems show that the proposed method is effective. Keywo